Royal Caribbean stock rating reiterated by Bernstein at Outperform

Published 31/10/2025, 14:48
Royal Caribbean stock rating reiterated by Bernstein at Outperform

Investing.com - Bernstein SocGen Group has reiterated an Outperform rating on Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE:RCL) with a price target of $360.00, representing a 26% upside from the current price of $284.65. According to InvestingPro data, RCL has a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating strong financial health.

The firm noted that Royal Caribbean’s stock has declined approximately 10% since reporting third-quarter 2025 results, but suggests this reaction may overstate concerns about cruise demand deterioration. This aligns with InvestingPro data showing a precise 10.09% decline over the past week, though the stock still maintains a 39.51% gain over the past year.

Bernstein points out that third-quarter yield growth was "solid" as it was primarily driven by like-for-like performance rather than new capacity, indicating underlying strength in the business.

The firm explains that fourth-quarter yield guidance of 2.2-2.7% (constant currency) includes temporary headwinds: a 90 basis point impact from lower drydocks and hardware deliveries, plus a 30-40 basis point effect from weather and Labadee issues, making the underlying yield growth closer to 4%.

Looking ahead to 2026, Bernstein expects continued yield strength supported by specific catalysts including Royal Beach Club Nassau (approximately 1% yield tailwind), Royal Beach Club Santorini benefits in Q2/Q3, and positive mix effects from the addition of Star and Xcel vessels in the first half of the year.

In other recent news, Royal Caribbean Cruises reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, posting an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.75, which exceeded analyst expectations of $5.69. However, the company reported revenue of $5.14 billion, falling short of the projected $5.17 billion. Despite this mixed financial performance, Royal Caribbean also provided fourth-quarter earnings guidance that was below market expectations. Following these announcements, BofA Securities lowered its price target for the company to $325 from $355, maintaining a Neutral rating. Stifel also adjusted its price target, reducing it to $400 from $420, though it kept a Buy rating on the stock. William Blair reiterated an Outperform rating on Royal Caribbean, despite a nearly 10% stock decline, attributing the drop to an overreaction to their 2026 EPS estimate. The company indicated that its 2026 earnings per share would be in the $17 range, slightly below the analyst consensus of $18.16. These developments have been closely monitored by investors and analysts alike.

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