Semtech stock target raised on strong Q3 and outlook

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 26/11/2024, 18:58
Semtech stock target raised on strong Q3 and outlook
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On Tuesday, Piper Sandler increased the price target for Semtech Corp . (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMTC (NASDAQ:SMTX)) to $75 from $60, while retaining an Overweight rating on the shares. This adjustment follows Semtech's third-quarter performance, which surpassed Street expectations, and positive guidance for January. The company's revenue growth is largely attributed to its data center product portfolio.

Semtech's recent earnings call revealed that revenues for Analog Circuit Conditioning ( ACC (NS:ACC)) in the third quarter were in the high single-digit millions range, exceeding expectations. Management anticipates further progress with ACC in the upcoming January quarter and expects a continuous ramp-up throughout the next year. Additionally, the prospects for Link Performance Optimization (LPO) are looking promising, with sample shipments for qualifications currently in progress and potential production revenues targeted for the second half of calendar year 2025.

The company's core business is on an upward trajectory, as evidenced by robust margin performance. Semtech has also been concentrating on refining its balance sheet following a strategic review of its portfolio this quarter. The firm's analyst reaffirms Semtech as a top small-cap pick and maintains the Overweight rating with an increased price target of $75, signaling confidence in the company's growth trajectory and financial health.

In other recent news, Semtech Corporation reported impressive earnings and revenue results that exceeded expectations. The company's revenue surpassed forecasts by $4 million, coming in at $236.8 million, while earnings per share (EPS) outperformed by $0.03, achieving $0.26. Semtech has also provided an optimistic forecast for its fourth quarter, expecting sales to be around $250 million, surpassing the Street consensus by $9 million. Its anticipated Q4 EPS is set at $0.32, which also beats the Street's estimate by $0.06.

Multiple financial firms, including Benchmark, Stifel, Northland, Needham, and Baird, have made positive adjustments to Semtech's price target following these strong results. Benchmark, for instance, raised its price target from $56.00 to $82.00, maintaining a Buy rating. The company's recent successes include the production ramp-up of its new Active Copper Cable (ACC) Copper Edge product for NVDA™s Blackwell platform, which contributed to high-single digit millions in revenue in the third quarter and is expected to continue growing in the fourth quarter.

The company has begun volume shipments of its CopperEdge 200G Linear Redrivers for ACC applications and is receiving initial test and qualification orders for its LPO products. These products are anticipated to make a meaningful revenue contribution by the fiscal year-end 2026. These are recent developments that indicate Semtech's strategic focus on high-margin, growth-oriented products and its ability to capitalize on the expanding demands of the data center market.

InvestingPro Insights

Semtech's recent performance and positive outlook are reflected in the latest InvestingPro data and tips. The company's stock has shown significant momentum, with a 13.12% return over the last week and an impressive 231.31% return over the past year. This aligns with Piper Sandler's increased price target and Overweight rating.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 8 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, supporting the optimistic view on Semtech's future performance. The company's stock price is trading near its 52-week high, with a price that's 99.44% of its 52-week peak, reflecting investor confidence in line with the positive guidance mentioned in the article.

While Semtech's revenue growth has been negative (-0.58% in the last twelve months), the company's focus on its data center product portfolio and the anticipated ramp-up in ACC and LPO segments could drive future growth. The gross profit margin of 49.83% indicates a strong ability to generate profit from its core business operations.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Semtech, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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