Stifel cuts Artivion stock price target to $30 from $33, keeps Buy rating

Published 25/02/2025, 16:36
Stifel cuts Artivion stock price target to $30 from $33, keeps Buy rating

On Tuesday, Stifel analysts adjusted their outlook on Artivion Inc. (NYSE:AORT), lowering the price target to $30.00 from the previous $33.00, while still maintaining a Buy rating on the company’s stock. Currently trading at $24.29 with a market capitalization of $1.03 billion, Artivion has shown strong momentum with a 37.4% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a Strong Buy consensus on the stock, with price targets ranging from $30 to $35. The revision follows Artivion’s fourth-quarter sales report, which, at $97.3 million, was lower than both Stifel’s and the consensus estimate of approximately $101 million. This shortfall was attributed to a cybersecurity breach disclosed on December 9, which impacted fourth-quarter sales by $4.5 million.

Despite the cyber incident, Artivion’s adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of 2024 surpassed expectations, coming in at $17.6 million compared to the anticipated $17 million. The company has maintained impressive fundamentals, with InvestingPro data showing a robust gross profit margin of 64.53% and trailing twelve-month revenue growth of 13.29%. However, the full-year revenue for 2024 did not meet the forecast, totaling $388.5 million against the guidance range of $389 million to $396 million.

Artivion’s management anticipates that the effects of the cybersecurity incident will extend into the first quarter of 2025, projecting revenues between $94 million and $98 million, which is below the prior Stifel and consensus estimate of $105 million. Nevertheless, the company expects a rebound in sales growth throughout 2025, with projected revenues of $420 million to $435 million, indicating an increase of 10% to 14%. This forecast aligns with the previous Stifel and consensus estimate of around $430 million.

For the 2025 adjusted EBITDA, Artivion anticipates achieving between $83 million and $91 million, which is favorable compared to the prior Stifel and consensus projections of approximately $83 million and $85 million, respectively, at the midpoint of the guidance range. InvestingPro analysis reveals additional insights about Artivion’s financial health and growth prospects, with over 7 exclusive ProTips available for subscribers, along with comprehensive valuation metrics and peer comparison tools in the Pro Research Report.

In other recent news, Artivion Inc. reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing a revenue of $97.3 million, which missed the forecasted $100.82 million. Despite this shortfall, the company achieved a 3% year-over-year growth, supported by strong performances in Latin America and Asia Pacific markets. The revenue miss was attributed to a cybersecurity incident that disrupted operations, impacting Q4 revenue by approximately $4.5 million. Needham analysts subsequently lowered their price target for Artivion to $32 from $34, though they maintained a Buy rating, citing expectations for a recovery in 2025. JMP Securities, on the other hand, reaffirmed its Market Outperform rating and $33 price target, acknowledging the operational disruptions but expressing confidence in the company’s recovery efforts. Artivion’s adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $17.6 million, marking a 15% increase year-over-year. The company’s guidance for 2025 projects revenue between $420 million and $435 million, with an anticipated adjusted EBITDA of $84 million to $91 million. Management remains optimistic, indicating that the cybersecurity issue will not significantly impact the full-year results for 2025.

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