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On Friday, Stifel analysts stood firm on their Buy rating for Gambling.com Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: GAMB) with a steady price target of $18.00. The endorsement comes as the company’s shares, currently trading at $12.13, experienced a 15% drop, continuing a challenging period that saw an 8.4% decline in the past week. According to InvestingPro data, this recent pullback comes despite the stock’s impressive 60% gain over the past year. These include market expectations for continued strong performance following a trend of beating earnings estimates and raising forecasts, a shift in revenue mix towards media partnerships which wasn’t wholly favorable, and a slight implied downside in constant currency terms, despite beneficial foreign exchange conditions.
The analysts at Stifel highlighted Gambling.com’s resilience within the challenging gambling affiliate sector. They pointed to the company’s diverse and high-quality geographic and product revenue mix, increasing subscription revenue, proprietary technology, disciplined operational efficiency, and a strategic approach to mergers and acquisitions as factors that differentiate Gambling.com from its competitors. This operational excellence is reflected in the company’s outstanding 94.5% gross profit margin and robust 24.7% revenue growth over the last twelve months, as reported by InvestingPro.
Despite the broader sector’s difficulties potentially capping the company’s valuation, Stifel’s analysts consider Gambling.com’s stock to be undervalued when compared to historical benchmarks. This view aligns with InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, which suggests the stock is currently undervalued. Trading at a P/E ratio of 12.2 relative to its growth potential, and maintaining a "GREAT" financial health score, the company shows promising fundamentals. For deeper insights into Gambling.com’s valuation and access to 10 additional ProTips, explore the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
As part of their evaluation, Stifel made minor adjustments to their financial model for Gambling.com. They forecasted a 1% decrease in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 due to investments in technology. Nonetheless, the firm’s price target remains unchanged at $18.00, reaffirming their positive outlook on the company’s financial prospects.
In other recent news, Gambling.com Group Limited reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.46, significantly surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.24. Revenue for the quarter reached a record $40.6 million, slightly above the projected $40.38 million and marking a 39% year-over-year increase. This strong performance was attributed to a 24% growth in the iGaming sector and a 68% increase in sports revenue. Notably, sports data services revenue surged by 405% to $9.9 million, following the acquisitions of OddsJam and OpticOdds.
Additionally, Gambling.com welcomed over 138,000 new depositing customers, a 29% increase from the previous year. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between $170 million and $174 million and adjusted EBITDA of $67 million to $69 million, reflecting substantial year-over-year growth. Macquarie maintained its Outperform rating on the company but adjusted the price target from $19.00 to $18.00. The firm noted the company’s strategic shift towards recurring subscriptions, which now account for 24% of first-quarter revenues.
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