Stifel maintains Checkpoint stock hold with $220 target

Published 24/04/2025, 16:06
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On Thursday, Stifel analysts maintained a Hold rating on Checkpoint Software (NASDAQ:CHKP) shares, with a consistent price target of $220.00. The firm’s commentary highlighted Check Point’s strong first-quarter performance for fiscal year 2025, noting robust year-over-year growth in several key financial metrics. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 88.26% and has received upward earnings revisions from 13 analysts for the upcoming period. The company reported an 11% increase in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), marking the second consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year growth. Product revenue saw a significant rise of 14% year-over-year, the highest since the second quarter of fiscal year 2011. Additionally, billings grew by 7% year-over-year, slightly surpassing expectations. With a market capitalization of $22.6 billion and strong cash position, InvestingPro analysis indicates Check Point trades at premium multiples relative to its near-term earnings growth potential. Discover more insights with InvestingPro’s comprehensive research report, covering 1,400+ top US stocks.

Check Point has attributed its positive results to ongoing success with its firewall refresh opportunities and platform deals. Despite the current geopolitical uncertainties, the company has not experienced any direct headwinds. However, it has cautiously factored these considerations into its second-quarter fiscal year 2025 guidance, which aligns with consensus estimates, while also reiterating its full-year guidance for 2025.

Looking to the future, Check Point’s new CEO is focusing on promoting the company’s hybrid mesh architecture and investing in areas such as Secure Access Service Edge (SASE), artificial intelligence (AI), and sales and marketing (S&M). These initiatives are part of Check Point’s strategy to achieve sustainable double-digit top-line growth in the upcoming years.

Despite the positive earnings report, Check Point shares experienced a decline, which Stifel analysts believe is mainly due to investor positioning. Check Point was considered a crowded-long investment, and the shift in share price is seen as a reaction to broader market trends and the rapidly changing geopolitical landscape. The stock has delivered a 26.87% return over the past year, though InvestingPro analysis suggests current valuations exceed Fair Value estimates. For deeper insights into Check Point’s valuation metrics and growth potential, explore InvestingPro’s exclusive financial health scores and advanced analysis tools.

In other recent news, Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. reported first-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2025 that exceeded analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $2.21, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.19, with revenue rising 7% year-over-year to $638 million, exceeding expectations of $636.22 million. Product and license revenue increased by 14% to $114.1 million, driven by strong demand for Quantum Force appliances, while security subscription revenue rose 10% to $290.6 million. The company maintained its full-year financial guidance for FY25, citing no significant adverse impacts from tariffs.

Analyst firms have responded to these developments with varied assessments. Cantor Fitzgerald maintained a Neutral stance with a $220 price target, acknowledging consistent performance despite some areas not meeting expectations. Truist Securities reiterated a Buy rating with a $250 target, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) and AI technologies. Meanwhile, Stephens adjusted its price target to $229 from $255, maintaining an Equal Weight rating and noting potential for future growth under new leadership. Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James affirmed an Outperform rating with a $240 target, noting stability in forward guidance and improved investor sentiment.

These developments highlight Check Point’s strategic initiatives and market positioning amid a challenging economic environment.

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