Stifel sees changes in LNG market, cites new projects

Published 24/03/2025, 14:32
Stifel sees changes in LNG market, cites new projects

On Monday, Stifel analysts released a report on the Energy Infrastructure and Maritime sector, highlighting recent shifts in the LNG (liquefied natural gas) market. The report, which includes analysis of key players like Golar LNG (NASDAQ:GLNG), a $4 billion market cap company, detailed the commencement of significant projects such as Corpus stage 3 and Greater Tortue, and noted the impact of tariffs and geopolitical tensions on the industry. According to InvestingPro data, GLNG currently appears overvalued based on its Fair Value analysis.

The analysts observed that the LNG market dynamics are being influenced by various factors, including the start of new projects and the fluctuating situation in Russia and Yemen. These changes are causing industry players to reassess their strategies. European LNG prices have remained robust, drawing shipments away from Asia, although there has been a recent dip in prices due to concerns over the potential resurgence of Russian pipeline gas and LNG. GLNG has shown resilience amid these market conditions, with InvestingPro data showing a strong 63% return over the past year and maintaining a "Fair" overall financial health score.

The report also mentioned progress in the U.S., where regulatory barriers to LNG projects are being removed, potentially allowing for more developments in the sector. However, it was noted that despite these positive signs, no final agreements have been reached yet.

In terms of shipping, the LNG shipping market was described as "extremely weak," with expectations that this weakness could persist until at least autumn. This assessment suggests that the shipping aspect of the LNG market may face challenges in the near term.

The Stifel report provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of the LNG market, taking into account various factors that could influence future developments in liquefaction, regasification, and shipping.

In other recent news, Golar LNG Limited reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, with total operating revenues reaching $66 million, slightly below the forecasted $67.42 million. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share, maintaining a steady financial performance despite the revenue miss. Golar LNG’s strategic focus on the FLNG (OL:FLNG) sector includes a 20-year charter with Southern Energy in Argentina and the acquisition of minority stakes in Hilli FLNG, highlighting its growth ambitions. Stifel analyst Benjamin Nolan maintained a Buy rating on Golar LNG with a price target of $55, noting the completion of a significant $1.2 billion refinancing deal for Golar’s Gimi FLNG unit. This refinancing deal is expected to support the company’s growth, particularly in funding the equity component for a second MK2 vessel. Nolan anticipates that Golar’s current valuation does not fully reflect potential upside from the MK2 projects. The analyst also highlighted favorable financing terms for future asset financing, emphasizing Golar’s ability to produce MK2 units efficiently. These developments underscore Golar LNG’s strategic positioning and growth prospects in the FLNG market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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