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On Friday, CFRA analyst Stewart Glickman increased the price target for Targa Resources (NYSE:TRGP) to $208 from $198, while retaining a Hold rating on the company’s shares. Glickman’s revised target is based on a 12x multiple of the enterprise value to the projected 2026 EBITDA, which is above Targa Resources’ historical forward average. This adjustment reflects the company’s strengthened position in the Permian region and an expected rise in volumes. The stock has shown remarkable strength, delivering a 114.3% return over the past year, with analyst targets ranging from $135 to $259. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock is currently fairly valued, with 12 more exclusive insights available to subscribers.
Glickman has also updated the earnings per share (EPS) estimate for 2025, raising it by $0.28 to $7.85, and has introduced an initial EPS estimate for 2026 at $9.25. Targa Resources reported a Q4 operating EPS of $1.82, which was slightly below the consensus by $0.01. The analyst notes that the businesses of Targa Resources are projected to be over 90% fee-based for 2025, making them highly dependent on volume, while the remaining portion is largely hedged through 2026. With a market capitalization of $43.8 billion and an "GOOD" financial health score from InvestingPro, the company demonstrates solid operational fundamentals.
The company anticipates a reduction in capital expenditures in 2025, with a forecasted range of $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion, down from $3.0 billion in 2024. The adjusted EBITDA for the same period is expected to be between $4.65 billion and $4.85 billion, suggesting a 15% growth at the midpoint. According to Glickman, the increase in free cash flow should provide a favorable environment for debt reduction.
However, Glickman suggests that the current trading price of Targa Resources’ shares already reflects much of the potential upside, given that it exceeds the historical average. The shares currently offer a yield of 1.4%.
In other recent news, Targa Resources reported fourth-quarter 2024 revenue of $4.41 billion, slightly below the analyst estimates of $4.42 billion. The company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $1.12 billion, marking a 17% year-over-year increase, driven by strong volume growth in its Permian operations. Net income attributable to shareholders rose to $351.0 million, up from $299.6 million in the previous year. For 2025, Targa Resources estimates adjusted EBITDA between $4.65 billion and $4.85 billion, projecting a 15% growth at the midpoint. Stifel analysts raised their price target for Targa Resources to $229, maintaining a Buy rating, following the company’s strong financial results and favorable 2025 guidance. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities also increased the price target to $226, citing the company’s solid performance and growth prospects, particularly in the Permian Basin. Additionally, Targa Resources announced the appointment of Jennifer R. Kneale as President, effective March 1, 2025. The company plans to recommend a 33% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.00 per share starting in Q1 2025.
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