TD Cowen maintains Buy on Home Depot shares, $470 target

Published 26/02/2025, 17:00
© Reuters.

On Wednesday, TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating and $470.00 price target for Home Depot stock (NYSE:HD), which currently trades at $396.35. As a prominent player in the Specialty Retail industry with a market cap of $394 billion, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently trading above its Fair Value. The firm’s analyst, Max Rakhlenko, provided a positive outlook for the company’s fiscal year 2025, citing a strong finish to fiscal year 2024 and a solid guide for the upcoming year as factors contributing to an attractive setup for the home improvement retailer.

Rakhlenko highlighted the signs of increasing demand as a positive indicator, while also noting the need to be cautious due to the volatile housing market. Home Depot has demonstrated strong financial performance with revenue of $159.5 billion in the last twelve months and a healthy gross profit margin of 33.4%. Despite these concerns, the analyst remains optimistic about Home Depot’s performance in fiscal year 2025. The projected 1% comparable sales growth for the year was pointed out as having potential for an upside, especially considering that the core comparable sales are currently below expectations. The company has maintained dividend payments for 39 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 2.29%.

The analyst’s confidence in Home Depot is further bolstered by the company’s growing momentum with professional customers. Rakhlenko mentioned that the investments Home Depot has made are beginning to show returns, which could contribute to the company’s continued success.

Additionally, the synergies from Home Depot’s Strategic Retail Solutions (SRS) are making progress, which could further enhance the company’s revenue. The maintained Buy rating and price target of $470 reflect TD Cowen’s positive stance on Home Depot’s stock, as they anticipate the company to power through the upcoming fiscal year with strong results.

In other recent news, Home Depot’s latest financial disclosures have garnered attention from several analyst firms, resulting in adjustments to their price targets and ratings. RBC Capital Markets revised its price target for Home Depot to $424 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating, citing a conservative earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 due to high interest rates. Truist Securities lowered its price target to $437 but kept a Buy rating, noting a positive shift in Home Depot’s comparable sales performance after a challenging period. Piper Sandler also reduced its price target to $435 and reiterated an Overweight rating, highlighting the company’s strategic initiatives and resilience despite a cautious 2025 outlook.

KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained a Sector Weight rating, acknowledging Home Depot’s stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results driven by increased home improvement spending and hurricane-related sales. Bernstein slightly decreased its price target to $421, maintaining a Market Perform rating, and pointed out that while Home Depot exceeded sales expectations, its 2025 guidance remains conservative. Home Depot’s fourth-quarter net sales rose 14.1% year-over-year to $39.7 billion, surpassing consensus estimates, with comparable store sales increasing by 0.8%. Analysts have noted that Home Depot’s ability to navigate economic challenges and strategic focus on professional contractors could influence its future market performance. Despite the positive fourth-quarter results, the company’s 2025 guidance suggests modest growth, reflecting the ongoing economic uncertainties.

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