Telsey maintains Williams-Sonoma Outperform rating and $215 target

Published 22/05/2025, 16:42
Telsey maintains Williams-Sonoma Outperform rating and $215 target

On Thursday, Telsey Advisory Group maintained its Outperform rating on Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) with a stable price target of $215.00. The company, with a market capitalization of $19.6 billion and an impressive financial health score rated as "GOOD" by InvestingPro, has demonstrated strong operational efficiency with a return on equity of 53%. The firm’s analysis highlighted that the company’s first quarter of 2025 performance was solid, with sales trends surpassing expectations. Williams-Sonoma achieved a comparable sales increase of 3.4%, which was ahead of both Telsey’s own estimate of 0.1% and the FactSet consensus of a 0.3% decrease. This growth was driven by a notable 7.3% rise in sales at the Williams-Sonoma brand, a positive swing to 2% at Pottery Barn, and a consistent 3.8% increase at Pottery Barn Kids. However, West Elm experienced a slight softening to 0.2%, which may be attributed to a reduced seasonal assortment and its appeal to a younger demographic. With annual revenue of $7.71 billion and a moderate P/E ratio of 17.8x, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently trading near its Fair Value.

The company’s operating margin was reported at 16.8%, slightly above Telsey’s projection of 16.7% and the FactSet consensus of 16.5%. This figure represented a year-over-year decrease of 230 basis points, but when adjusted for a prior period adjustment, the operating margin would have reflected a 70 basis point increase. The selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses leveraged by 137 basis points year-over-year to 27.5%, compared to the FactSet consensus of 28.7% and Telsey’s estimate of 28.6%.

Williams-Sonoma’s gross margin declined more than anticipated, falling 363 basis points year-over-year to 44.3%, against Telsey’s expectation of 45.4% and the FactSet consensus of 45.1%. Despite this decline, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 46.45% over the last twelve months, according to InvestingPro data, which also reveals the company has maintained dividend payments for 20 consecutive years with a current yield of 1.57%. This decline was primarily due to a lower merchandise margin, which decreased by 220 basis points, though it was partially mitigated by supply chain efficiencies and occupancy leverage, which contributed 120 and 40 basis points, respectively. Excluding the prior period adjustment, the gross margin would have seen a 60 basis point decline year-over-year. Telsey observed that the margin decline was not significantly influenced by increased promotional activity but was rather affected by the impact of tariffs.

In other recent news, Williams-Sonoma Inc . reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company exceeded expectations with earnings per share of $1.85, surpassing the forecast of $1.74, and posted net revenues of $1.73 billion, beating the anticipated $1.67 billion. Despite these positive outcomes, the stock saw a decline in pre-market trading. The company maintained a solid operating margin of 16.8% and reported a significant cash reserve of $1 billion with no outstanding debt. Williams-Sonoma also noted a 3.4% positive comp across all brands, demonstrating its competitive positioning in a contracting home furnishings industry. Analysts from KeyBanc Capital Markets and Baird expressed interest in the company’s strategies for tariff mitigation and inventory management. Williams-Sonoma’s fiscal year 2025 guidance suggests net revenue comps to remain flat to a 3% increase, with operating margins expected between 17.4% and 17.8%. The company is actively working on a six-point mitigation plan to address new tariffs and aims for mid to high single-digit revenue growth in the long term.

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