Truist Securities raises OneSpaWorld stock price target to $24 on AI efficiencies

Published 04/08/2025, 17:14
Truist Securities raises OneSpaWorld stock price target to $24 on AI efficiencies

Investing.com - Truist Securities raised its price target on OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ:OSW) to $24.00 from $21.00 on Monday, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The company, currently trading at $22.42 and near its 52-week high of $23.17, has seen impressive momentum with a 41.88% return over the past year.

The price target increase reflects anticipated operating efficiencies from artificial intelligence implementation that Truist Securities expects to materialize "below the observation deck" at the company. According to InvestingPro data, the company already demonstrates strong operational efficiency with a GREAT Financial Health Score and revenue growth of 8.51% in the last twelve months.

Truist Securities adjusted its 2025 forecasts for OneSpaWorld, raising its Adjusted EBITDA estimate to $124.0 million from $121.2 million and EPS projection to $1.01 from $0.97. For 2026, the firm increased its Adjusted EBITDA estimate to $142.5 million from $136.9 million and EPS forecast to $1.16 from $1.10.

The new $24 price target is based on a 19.0x multiple of Truist’s 2026 EBITDA estimate, up from the previous 18.0x multiple, with the increase attributed to macroeconomic factors.

Truist Securities noted that while OneSpaWorld faces some macroeconomic risks to discretionary spending, these impacts currently appear limited to the lower end of contemporary and mass-market cruising, with other positive factors including healthy spending trends, new ships coming online in the second half of 2025, free cash flow supporting dividend increases and stock buybacks, and potential AI-driven operating expense savings beginning in the second quarter of 2026.

In other recent news, OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd. has seen a series of positive developments. The company reported strong first-quarter earnings, with revenues exceeding the high end of guidance and robust EBITDA margin performance, as noted by TD Cowen. Stifel and TD Cowen both raised their price targets for OneSpaWorld to $25, maintaining a Buy rating on the stock due to emerging margin enhancement opportunities and strong financial results. Truist Securities also increased its price target to $21, citing the company’s strong earnings and upward revisions in future EBITDA and EPS projections.

Stifel’s analysts, following meetings with OneSpaWorld’s leadership, expressed confidence in the company’s demand trends and financial prospects, suggesting that revenue and EBITDA guidance for 2025 might be conservative. They noted that the current demand levels could support modest price increases if they continue. Truist Securities highlighted an increase in the 2025 Adjusted EBITDA forecast to $121.2 million and a rise in EPS projections to $0.97. Additionally, the 2026 Adjusted EBITDA estimate was revised upward to $136.9 million, with EPS expectations adjusted to $1.10. Overall, the company has received positive feedback from multiple analyst firms, reflecting optimism about its future performance.

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