UBS maintains neutral rating on Ollie’s Bargain Outlet stock

Published 04/06/2025, 15:28

On Wednesday, UBS analysts reaffirmed their Neutral rating for Ollie’s Bargain Outlet stock (NASDAQ: OLLI), keeping the price target steady at $123.00. According to InvestingPro data, the stock appears to be trading above its Fair Value, with a P/E ratio of 32.8x and a high EBITDA multiple. The decision comes after the closeout retailer reported results that aligned with expectations amid a challenging and volatile macroeconomic environment.

Ollie’s reported a comparable-store sales increase of 2.6%, surpassing UBS’s estimate of 2.0% and the consensus of 1.7%. The company’s revenue grew 8.7% over the last twelve months to $2.34 billion, with a healthy gross margin of 40.3%. According to UBS, investor expectations were in the 2.5-3.0% range prior to the earnings release. The company’s gross margin showed a slight year-over-year decline of approximately 5 basis points in the first quarter, maintaining most of the gains from the previous year.

UBS analysts noted that Ollie’s is well-positioned to benefit from consumers seeking value in an uncertain economic climate. The company is expected to capture additional spending as shoppers aim to stretch their budgets.

Looking ahead, topics of interest for Ollie’s earnings call include the impact of tariffs on the closeout model during the quarter, consumer health, and insights from Big Lots (NYSE:BIG). These areas are anticipated to be central to discussions as the company navigates the current economic landscape.

In other recent news, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet has reported strong first-quarter results, with significant same-store sales growth and earnings per share surpassing expectations. KeyBanc analysts maintained their Overweight rating and a $135 price target, citing Ollie’s strategic positioning for growth and the acquisition of Big Lots locations. RBC Capital also reaffirmed their Outperform rating with a $133 price target, noting steady performance despite weather-related challenges and maintaining their EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026. Piper Sandler lowered Ollie’s price target slightly to $123 but retained an Overweight rating, emphasizing the company’s favorable market position and potential growth drivers. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) maintained an Equalweight rating with a $118 price target, highlighting both opportunities and challenges in the closeout industry. Citi analysts reiterated a Buy rating and a $133 price target, acknowledging Ollie’s strong market share gains and favorable inventory levels amidst tariff disruptions. These developments underscore the varied analyst perspectives on Ollie’s future performance, reflecting a mix of optimism and caution.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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