Upwork stock holds firm with $18 target from JMP analysts

Published 06/05/2025, 14:54
Upwork stock holds firm with $18 target from JMP analysts

On Tuesday, JMP Securities analysts maintained a positive outlook on Upwork Inc. (NASDAQ:UPWK), reiterating their Market Outperform rating and a steadfast $18.00 price target. The freelance platform’s first-quarter results for 2025 surpassed expectations, with revenue and EBITDA exceeding guidance by $1.7 million (1%) and $6.0 million (12%), respectively. According to InvestingPro data, Upwork maintains impressive gross profit margins of 77.4% and generated $769.3 million in revenue over the last twelve months. This performance led to an increase in the company’s EBITDA guidance for 2026 by $10 million.

Despite the strong financials, Upwork has observed some challenges at the beginning of the sales funnel, which the company insists are not related to tariffs or recent events, with these external factors having a minimal impact. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and maintains a healthy current ratio of 3.39, indicating strong financial stability. Upwork’s diverse range of services, spanning 58 categories each generating over $1 million in Gross Services Volume (GSV), is seen as a strategic advantage that may cushion against minor macroeconomic fluctuations. Furthermore, the company reported no change in demand this April.

Upwork’s guidance for the second half of 2025 appears cautious, yet it suggests a continued positive trajectory, with conservative estimates for take rates and costs. The integration of AI technology and Uma, Upwork’s AI, is credited with enhancing the platform’s efficiency by automating more tasks and refining the curation process. These improvements are expected to boost liquidity and conversion rates across the platform. For deeper insights into Upwork’s technological initiatives and financial metrics, access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

Highlighting Upwork’s impressive 29% EBITDA margins this quarter, JMP Securities analysts project that the company is on course to achieve 35% margins in the coming years. Trading at a P/E ratio of 8.47, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with analysts setting price targets ranging from $15 to $25. They underscore the attractive valuation of Upwork’s shares and reaffirm their Market Outperform rating and $18 price target, signaling confidence in the company’s financial journey and market position.

In other recent news, Upwork Inc. announced its first-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a record revenue of $192.7 million, which represents a 1% increase year-over-year. The company’s earnings per share and revenue exceeded market expectations, contributing to a positive market reaction. Upwork’s gross margin reached an all-time high of 78.3%, and the adjusted EBITDA was reported at $56 million, indicating a 29% margin. The company has set its full-year 2025 revenue guidance between $740 million and $760 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $190 million to $200 million.

Citi analysts recently adjusted their outlook on Upwork, reducing the price target from $19.00 to $18.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating. Despite the strong quarterly performance, Citi expressed caution due to macroeconomic factors that could impact the company’s future performance. The firm highlighted Upwork’s increased focus on AI and enterprise strategies, which seem to be driving growth and user engagement.

The launch of Upwork’s Ooma (NYSE:OOMA) AI platform has significantly boosted user engagement, contributing to the company’s optimistic future guidance. Upwork’s Gross Services Volume (GSV) was reported at $988 million, with a 25% year-over-year increase in AI-related GSV. The company is also focusing on serving higher-value clients, with GSV per large client up by 11% year-over-year. Despite some challenges, Upwork remains confident in its growth trajectory, supported by its ongoing investments in AI and enterprise initiatives.

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