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On Thursday, Wolfe Research made adjustments to its outlook on Marvell Technology Group Ltd . (NASDAQ:MRVL), reducing the price target from the previous $130.00 to $115.00. Despite the cut in the price target, the firm maintained its Outperform rating on the company’s shares. The stock, currently trading at $90.14, has shown strong momentum with a 36.35% return over the past six months, though InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value.
The revision followed commentary from Chris Caso, an analyst at Wolfe Research, regarding Marvell’s position in the market. Caso’s remarks addressed concerns that Marvell might have lost a next-generation project to competitor Alchip. However, Marvell’s management dispelled these worries during their recent earnings call, confirming their ongoing engagement with a key customer for the next generation of a particular XPU (accelerator). The company, with its robust market capitalization of $78 billion and moderate debt levels, is currently preparing for a production ramp-up after the sampling and qualification stages are completed.
According to the analyst, Marvell’s revenue from custom XPUs is anticipated not only to increase this fiscal year, 2026, but also to continue its growth trajectory into the next fiscal year, 2027, and beyond. Caso highlighted the importance of Marvell’s clarity on revenue and design wins related to this customer, believed to be Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and how it reinforces confidence in the security of Marvell’s revenue stream from this relationship.
Marvell Technology Group Ltd., known for its semiconductor solutions, has been focusing on the development and production of integrated and customized chips that cater to a variety of sectors, including the data center, enterprise, and automotive industries. The company’s financial performance and partnerships, such as the one implied with Amazon, are closely monitored by investors as indicators of its long-term growth potential and market position.
In other recent news, Marvell Technology Inc. reported its Q4 FY2025 earnings, surpassing analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.60, slightly above the forecast of $0.59. The company also exceeded revenue forecasts, reporting $1.82 billion compared to the expected $1.80 billion, marking a 27% year-over-year increase and a 20% sequential growth. Despite these positive results, Marvell’s stock experienced a notable decline in after-hours trading. Marvell announced significant technological advancements, including the introduction of 2nm silicon IP, and reorganized into two primary business groups to enhance focus and efficiency. The company highlighted strong growth in AI-related revenues, which now constitute the majority of its data center revenue. Analysts have taken note of Marvell’s performance, with Fitch upgrading the company’s investment-grade credit rating, citing strong operating momentum and improved cash flow. For Q1 FY2026, Marvell forecasts revenue of $1.875 billion, with expectations for AI revenue to significantly exceed $2.5 billion.
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