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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares advance on U.S.-China trade hopes, ECB stimulus

Published 13/09/2019, 01:48
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares advance on U.S.-China trade hopes, ECB stimulus
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* Ex-Japan Asia MSCI up 0.16%, Nikkei gains 0.42%

* S&P 500 near record peak hit in late July

* Euro, bonds lose steam on profit-taking after ECB

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Asian stocks advanced on Friday

as hints of progress in the U.S.-China trade dispute and

aggressive stimulus from the European Central Bank helped to

counter worries about a global economic slowdown.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan

.MIAPJ0000PUS ticked up 0.2%, while Japan's Nikkei .N225

rose 0.4%.

Sentiment was also supported by U.S. President Donald

Trump's announcement that his administration would unveil a tax

overhaul plan aimed at middle-income households next

year.

"Risk assets should find further support from accommodative

policies, which are set to remain in vogue for some time, and

not just in Europe as seen in the global easing trend," said

Esty Dwek, head of global market strategy at Natixis.

"Nonetheless, we believe that trade uncertainty and growth

concerns will not vanish, so any reprieve on either subject will

be welcome. We also believe that some earnings growth will be

needed for equities to grind higher," she said.

Although conflicting reports on Thursday about whether Trump

administration officials had considered offering a limited trade

deal to China made U.S. markets choppy, investors overall were

sticking to hopes of more progress in upcoming talks.

The United States on Thursday welcomed China's renewed

purchases of U.S. farm goods while maintaining the threat of

U.S. tariff hikes as the world's two largest economies prepared

the ground for talks aimed at breaking the logjam in their trade

war. Trump said he preferred a comprehensive trade deal with

China but did not rule out the possibility of an interim pact,

even as he said an "easy" agreement would not be

possible. Most economists in a new Reuters poll believed the trade

dispute will worsen or at best stay the same over the coming

year. The U.S. S&P 500 closed within striking distance of its

all-time closing high, rising 0.29% to 3,009.57, near record

closing high of 3,024.50 marked in late July. .N

Philadelphia semiconductor shares index .SOX hit an

all-time high while MSCI ACWI .MIWD00000PUS also came near

this year's high after seven straight days of gains by Thursday.

The European Central Bank delivered bigger-than-expected

stimulus, cutting interest rates by 0.10 percentage point to

minus 0.50 percent, promising that rates would stay low for

longer and restarting bond purchases of 20 billion euros a month

from November. The resumption of quantitative easing had been seen as a

close call and helped to boost risk assets.

But the euro quickly lost steam and European bond yields

also rose as profit-taking set in.

ECB President Mario Draghi stepped up his rhetoric in

calling for governments to spend their way out of a slowdown,

highlighting the limitations of monetary policy and also fanning

expectations of fiscal spending down the road.

The euro stood at $1.10615 EUR= , having risen 0.5 percent

on Thursday and staying near two-week high of $1.10875 hit in

U.S. trade.

Rising risk appetite pushed the yen down to 108.15 yen per

dollar JPY= . It hit a six-week low of 108.19 on Thursday.

The 10-year German Bund yields also rose back to minus

0.521% DE10YT=RR .

That also helped to lift the yield on 10-year U.S.

Treasuries to as high as 1.081 percent US10YT=RR , its highest

level since early August.

Fed funds rate futures 0#FF: price in an interest rate cut

of 0.25 percentage point by the Fed next week but have

effectively priced out any chance of a larger cut.

The Fed will announce its policy on Wednesday, followed by

the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Thursday.

Sources told Reuters the BOJ is leaning towards standing pat

next week if markets are calm, but is brainstorming ways to

deepen negative interest rates at minimal cost. "I think a rally in stock prices will run out of steam soon.

It's typical buy-on-rumour-sell-on-fact trade on central bank

stimulus and will be over by the Fed and the BOJ's meetings,"

said Tatsushi Maeno, senior strategist at Okasan Asset

Management.

"People also seem to think there will be a deal between

China and the States soon but you never know when suddenly Trump

do about-face. We just saw that in May and August," he added.

Oil prices were softer as a meeting of the OPEC+ alliance

yielded no decision on deepening crude supply cuts.

Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell 0.2% to $60.29 a barrel

while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 lost 0.2%

to $54.96.

(Editing by Kim Coghill)

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