🥇 First rule of investing? Know when to save! Up to 55% off InvestingPro before BLACK FRIDAYCLAIM SALE

Crude oil slumps as Middle East diplomacy intensifies

Published 23/10/2023, 14:22
© Reuters.
CVX
-
HES
-
LCO
-
CL
-

Investing.com -- Oil prices fell Monday as diplomatic efforts to contain the conflict between Israel and Hamas intensified, although tensions remained high as Israel continued to bombard the Gaza enclave.

By 09:15 ET (13.15 GMT), the U.S. crude futures traded 1.2% lower at $87.06 a barrel, while the Brent contract dropped 0.9% to $91.32.

Diplomacy increases over Gaza conflict

Both benchmarks recorded gains of more than 1% last week for a second consecutive week, on fears of potential supply disruption if the Israel-Hamas war grows into a wider conflict in the Middle East, the world's biggest oil-supplying region.

However, Israel has so far held off launching a ground assault on Gaza, even though it has kept up its aerial bombardment, providing time to negotiate a release of more hostages as well as creating a window for diplomacy. 

Hamas released two U.S. hostages from Gaza late last week. 

U.S. President Joe Biden visited Israel last week, and the leaders of France and the Netherlands will visit this week in search of a solution for the conflict.

“Price direction in the oil market continues to be dictated by developments in the Middle East with concerns over the potential for the Israel-Hamas conflict to spread,” analysts at ING said, in a note. “This morning prices have trended lower with Israel’s ground operation into Gaza appearing to have been delayed.”

Brent net long positions increase

Despite today’s retreat, the oil market remains well supported by a tight supply situation given the hefty cuts to output announced by both Saudi Arabia and Russia earlier in the year.

Additionally, data released Monday showed that Norway's crude production fell to 1.64 million barrels per day in September, down from 1.79 million barrels in August and below forecasts of 1.73 million barrels.

With this in mind, and given the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, it’s not surprising that speculators boosted their net long positions in the ICE Brent contract over the last reporting week. 

The net long increased by 74,288 lots to 227,462 lots as of last Tuesday, which is the largest weekly increase since December 2016. 

“The move was predominantly driven by fresh buying with the gross long increasing by 45,089 lots, whilst there was also a fair amount of short covering with the gross short declining by 29,199 lots over the reporting week,” ING added.

Chevron to buy Hess for $53 billion

In corporate news, Chevron (NYSE:CVX), the second largest U.S. oil and gas producer, announced Monday a plan to buy U.S. rival Hess (NYSE:HES) for $53 billion.

This follows larger rival Exxon (NYSE:XOM)'s deals since July for top U.S. shale producer Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) and Denbury, and reflects a desire for oil and gas assets in a world seeking lower-risk future fossil supplies and higher shareholder returns.

Additionally, the International Energy Agency will release its World Energy Outlook on Tuesday, which will likely cover long term energy supply and demand trends. 

 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.