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GRAPHIC-Go West: Nigerian oil skirts U.S. shale boom in journey to California

Published 09/09/2019, 14:27
Updated 09/09/2019, 14:30
© Reuters.  GRAPHIC-Go West: Nigerian oil skirts U.S. shale boom in journey to California
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* Nigerian oil increasingly headed to Los Angeles refineries

* Lack of pipeline, shipping law encumber U.S. Gulf loadings

* Favourable export window may soon shut

By Noah Browning and Libby George

LONDON/LAGOS, Sept 9 (Reuters) - Nigeria's oil, displaced by

U.S. shale, has found an unlikely new outlet this year: the

coast of the continental United States that is farthest from the

African country's shores.

The shale boom has upended the global market, turning the

United States from a keen buyer of Nigerian oil to an aggressive

competitor.

But no pipelines easily connect the shale hub at the Permian

basin, located in Texas and New Mexico, to the West Coast,

driving the latter to look to Nigeria to quench its thirst for

crude.

Early this year, Californian refineries began loading up on

Nigerian oil – taking cargoes of Qua Iboe, Bonga, Erha, Forcados

and others, according to traders and Refinitiv Eikon data.

The more than 6 million barrels that the U.S. West Coast

imported from Nigeria between April and August this year was

almost four times higher than the amount for all of 2018.

The route is relatively rare for cargoes that must weather

the 20,000-km (12,500-mile), 40-day journey from Nigeria's lush

coasts, around South America's Tierra del Fuego and up to Los

Angeles.

Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) MRO.N at its Long Beach refinery has been the

most consistent buyer, with another very large crude carrier

(VLCC) full of Forcados oil departing Nigeria on Thursday.

Traders said a combination of market factors – including the

difficulty and expense of getting U.S. crude oil to the West

Coast – made Nigerian grades attractive.

"It makes more cost sense. Even if U.S. crude is closer on

the map, when you factor in the price and availability of taking

in barrels from Louisiana or Nigeria, Nigeria came out cheaper,"

one seller of West African oil said.

The purchases are a rare glimmer of hope this year for

Nigerian oil, which now competes with U.S. shale for buyers,

including in its top outlet, India.

The United States had historically been a heavy importer of

crude oil, but shale production, coupled with the lifting of a

four-decade export ban, transformed it into a net exporter of

oil and fuels by late last year. Barrels from this U.S. oil bonanza sailing to domestic

shores face added costs, however, due to a century-old law

called the Jones Act, which mandates that only U.S.-flagged

vessels can transport it.

The restriction often makes freight within the United States

more costly than much longer journeys.

But traders warn the surprise opening of the West

Africa-West Coast export window, or arb, could be short-lived

due to the timescales and distance involved.

"The arb may be already shutting. The price factors which

made a cargo exporting today look like a good deal would have

been happening over a month ago when the deal was made," a major

buyer of West African oil said.

"They won't be the same today and certainly won't be the

same over a month from now when the cargo arrives."

The need to refine oil into low-sulphur shipping fuels in

time for stricter environmental rules on Jan. 1 may also have

lured those cargoes, as West Africa is home to the kinds of

crude most suited to such products. This boon could be fleeting

too. "The honeymoon will be over in a year from now," said Ehsan

Ul-Haq, lead analyst with Refinitiv.

"At present, all refiners are desperate to produce marine

gasoil or very low-sulphur fuel oil. Once the market reaches

equilibrium ... there will be less interest."

Nigerian oil to U.S. West Coast https://tmsnrt.rs/2PSUySO

Routes of selected West African oil cargoes discharging in

California https://tmsnrt.rs/2MYlgXV

U.S. Imports from Nigeria of Crude Oil https://tmsnrt.rs/3171X1P

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