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FOREX-Currency market on hold awaiting U.S.-China trade details

Published 16/12/2019, 21:20
FOREX-Currency market on hold awaiting U.S.-China trade details
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(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and comments)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Dec 16 (Reuters) - The foreign exchange market

held steady on Monday, with the U.S. dollar slightly lower, in

anticipation of further details on the U.S.-China trade

agreement.

The "phase one" trade deal between Washington and Beijing

has been "absolutely completed," National Economic Council

Director Larry Kudlow told Fox News Channel on Monday, adding

that U.S. exports to China will double under the agreement.

The deal, announced on Friday after more than two and a half

years of on-off negotiations between Washington and Beijing,

will reduce some U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods in exchange for

increased Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural, manufactured

and energy products by some $200 billion over the next two

years.

But although China's trade delegation expressed optimism

about the deal, some government officials were cautious. The

deal "is a phased achievement, and does not mean that the trade

dispute is settled once and for all," said a Reuters source in

Beijing with knowledge of the situation. Caution over the future of trade talks pushed the dollar

index .DXY down 0.15%, last at 97.030. The trade-sensitive

Chinese yuan CNH= and Australian dollar AUD= were both off

last week's four-month peaks.

"FX investors took one look at the semi-conclusion of a

'phase one' deal on Dec. 12 and were overjoyed, but came back to

the table on Dec. 13 with the feeling of having more questions

than real answers," said Stephen Gallo, European head of foreign

exchange strategy at BMO Capital Markets.

The euro EUR= , which had spiked on Friday to a four-month

high of $1.1199 against the dollar, retraced most of those

gains, last at $1.1146, nevertheless up modestly over the course

of Monday's trade. The yen JPY= , a safe-haven asset which

benefits from market uncertainty, reached a two-week low on

Friday. It was fractionally stronger on Monday to last trade at

109.57 yen per dollar.

Monday's muted moves may be evidence of investor caution, of

"nobody really wanting to take too much of a large position

going into the end of the year given the lack of liquidity. So

you're seeing just some continuation as well as some position

squaring," said Charles Tomes, portfolio manager at Manulife

Asset Management

Elsewhere, sterling remained bolstered by expectations that

last week's resounding electoral win for British Prime Boris

Johnson's Conservative Party will end near-term Brexit

uncertainty. The pound was last trading at $1.335 GBP= , 0.19%

firmer on the day.

Currency market positioning https://tmsnrt.rs/38EYb41

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