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Citi sees steady upside for Visa stock with strong New Flows and revenue stability

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 30/10/2024, 11:16
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On Wednesday, Citi updated its stance on Visa Inc . (NYSE:V) stock, raising the credit card giant's price target to $326 from $319, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the shares. The adjustment follows Visa's fiscal fourth quarter performance, which exceeded expectations on both the top and bottom lines, driven by lower incentives and other revenue gains.

The company's key metrics, including payment volume, cross-border volume, and processed transactions, were reported to be either meeting or surpassing projections. Citi highlighted Visa's consistent performance and growth in New Flows and Value Add services as positive indicators for the company's underlying growth algorithm.

Looking forward to fiscal year 2025, Visa's revenue outlook aligns with expectations, ranging from high single digits to low double digits. This forecast accounts for the anticipated increase in incentives linked to a larger renewal tranche. According to Citi, this projection establishes a solid foundation for Visa, providing the company with the capacity to manage potential fluctuations in the market.

Citi further noted that the financial results position Visa well for a gradual increase in stock value as the market anticipates the company's investor day in February 2025. The analyst's comments underscore confidence in Visa's financial stability and growth prospects moving forward.

In other recent news, Visa Inc. reported a fourth-quarter profit that exceeded Wall Street expectations, with net revenue of $9.62 billion and adjusted earnings of $2.71 per share. The company's robust financial performance is attributed to a resilient consumer spending trend, particularly in travel and dining sectors. However, Visa did express concerns about slower growth in the Asia-Pacific region due to the economic climate in China.

The company also anticipates adjusted net revenue growth for 2025 in the high single digits to low double digits, slightly above expectations of 11.7%. Amidst these financial updates, Visa is facing legal challenges from the U.S. Justice Department, which accuses the company of monopolizing the debit card market, a claim Visa has dismissed.

In addition to these legal issues, Visa plans to reduce its workforce by approximately 1,400 employees and contractors by the end of the year. Analyst firms Baird and Jefferies have maintained positive stances on Visa, raising the company's price target and maintaining an Outperform and Buy rating, respectively. These recent developments highlight Visa's ongoing efforts to balance financial growth, legal challenges, and workforce adjustments.

InvestingPro Insights

Visa's strong financial performance, as highlighted in Citi's analysis, is further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $536.24 billion, reflecting its dominant position in the financial services industry. Visa's revenue growth of 9.7% over the last twelve months aligns with the company's projected outlook of high single to low double-digit growth for fiscal year 2025.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that Visa has raised its dividend for 16 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns. This is particularly noteworthy given the company's recent dividend growth of 15.56% and its ability to maintain dividend payments for 17 consecutive years. These factors contribute to Visa's appeal as a stable investment option.

The company's profitability is evident from its high gross profit margin of 97.8% and operating income margin of 66.95%, underscoring its efficient operations and strong market position. These metrics support Citi's positive outlook on Visa's growth algorithm and its ability to manage potential market fluctuations.

Investors seeking more comprehensive insights can access additional InvestingPro Tips, with 8 more tips available for Visa on the InvestingPro platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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