Needham maintains Buy on Alphabet shares, cites GenAI prospects

Published 19/08/2024, 13:22
Needham maintains Buy on Alphabet shares, cites GenAI prospects

On Monday, Needham, a well-known investment firm, confirmed its positive stance on shares of Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL), maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of $210. According to a summary of key insights from a conversation with the CEO of a GenAI infrastructure company, Alphabet and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) are positioned as frontrunners in the development of generative AI (GenAI) tools and capabilities.

The CEO estimated that a substantial investment of $5 trillion to $6 trillion in capital expenditure (CapX) would be necessary for new data center infrastructure to support GenAI. This year, hyperscalers are expected to allocate nearly $250 billion to GenAI infrastructure projects, marking a significant increase from the $50 billion per year spent six years ago for cloud infrastructure expansion.

GenAI has already started generating revenue, surpassing $100 billion in just 18 months. The demand for GenAI business is projected to double its capacity in 2024. Moreover, the shift towards AI chips, which consume five times more power than traditional public cloud chips yet require half the space, indicates a move toward more efficient data center designs.

The immense power and water needs of GenAI pose a significant challenge, especially in the U.S. and Europe. Industry leaders Sam Altman and Elon Musk have projected that GenAI data centers will require 50 GW and 80 GW of power, respectively.

Currently, the capacity for public cloud and GenAI stands at 18 GW, with 6 GW used for GenAI and 12 GW for public cloud. The available power is expected to increase by 8 to 10 GW yearly, suggesting it could take 6 to 8 years to reach an average of 66 GW for GenAI, based on Altman and Musk's estimates.

Due to the large resource requirements, the construction of new data centers is trending towards less conventional locations, such as North Dakota, Utah, and Iceland. There is also a growing demand for dark fiber to ensure data center connectivity, with four redundant pathways becoming a standard requirement, particularly in remote areas.

Public-private partnerships, like those in Nevada and Louisiana, are seen as catalysts for the deployment of data centers and the enhancement of high-speed connectivity. The CEO pointed out that the public cloud, which has seen $1.3 trillion in investments over the past 12 years, took Amazon and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) six years to become profitable. The GenAI market, however, is expected to be much larger in scale.

In other recent news, Alphabet Inc's Google has been the subject of multiple legal developments. A U.S. District Judge in San Francisco indicated his intention to mandate Google to provide Android users with additional options for downloading apps, following a jury's decision in favor of Epic Games. This comes after Google was found to have engaged in anti-competitive practices by controlling app distribution and in-app payment processes on Android devices.

Moreover, the U.S. Department of Justice is reportedly considering options that include breaking up Google in the wake of a significant antitrust ruling. The potential remedies being discussed include the divestiture of the Android operating system and the forced sale of AdWords, Google's search advertising program.

In a separate case, Google was criticized by U.S. District Judge Amit Mehta for its handling of potentially vital evidence. The company was reprimanded for not preserving internal chats and for misusing protections for legal communications.

Lastly, Google was fined 5 million roubles (equivalent to $58,038) by Russia for not adhering to a directive from the communications regulator, Roskomnadzor, regarding prohibited content. This move is part of Russia's ongoing efforts to enforce the removal of content it classifies as illegal on foreign technology platforms.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Alphabet Inc's (NASDAQ:GOOGL) involvement in the rapidly expanding field of generative AI (GenAI) and infrastructure, insights from InvestingPro provide a valuable perspective on the company's financial health and market position.

With a strong balance sheet, Alphabet holds more cash than debt, which could be a critical factor in funding the substantial investments in GenAI infrastructure that the industry anticipates. Moreover, the company's prudent financial management is underscored by the fact that its cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments and liquid assets exceed short-term obligations.

InvestingPro Data reveals a robust market capitalization of $2.02 trillion, reflecting investor confidence in Alphabet's potential. The company's P/E ratio stands at 23.21, with an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 at 22.23, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to near-term earnings growth.

This is further reinforced by a PEG ratio of 0.48 for the same period, indicating an attractive price relative to earnings growth expectations. Alphabet's revenue growth remains strong, with a 13.38% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, highlighting the company's ability to expand its market share and revenue streams.

These InvestingPro Tips and data points are particularly relevant given the article's focus on Alphabet's strategic positioning in GenAI and the significant capital expenditures required in this domain. The company's robust financial standing and positive market valuation metrics suggest it is well-equipped to navigate the substantial investments needed for GenAI infrastructure development. For readers interested in deeper financial analysis and additional tips, InvestingPro offers 12 more tips on Alphabet Inc, which can be accessed through their platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.