Vallourec stock falls 3% on light Q3 EBITDA guide despite solid Q2

Published 25/07/2025, 12:20
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Vallourec (EPA:VLLP) shares fell by 3% on Friday after the company issued third-quarter EBITDA guidance below consensus, offsetting a second-quarter performance that came in line with expectations.

Second-quarter EBITDA totaled €187 million, slightly ahead of Bloomberg consensus of €185 million and matching Jefferies’ forecast. Revenue was €863 million, missing consensus estimates of €922 million.

Net income reached €40 million, well below consensus of €79 million, impacted by €36 million in non-recurring items. Net debt stood at €201 million, better than Jefferies’ estimate of €213 million.

In the Tubes segment, EBITDA was €145 million, 8% lower than Jefferies’ projection. Average selling prices dropped 10% quarter over quarter to €2,610 per tonne, down from €2,910 in the first quarter. 

EBITDA per tonne declined 6% to €494, compared with €528 in the previous quarter. 

Volume came in at 293 kilotonnes, close to Jefferies’ estimate of 295 kilotonnes and down 7% from 314 kilotonnes in the first quarter.

The Mine and Forest segment reported EBITDA of €45 million, a 15% decline from the previous quarter’s €53 million, but ahead of Jefferies’ €39 million estimate. Production totaled 1.6 million tonnes, above the company’s 1.5 million-tonne guidance.

Vallourec guided third-quarter EBITDA between €195 million and €225 million. The midpoint is 7% below both the consensus forecast and Jefferies’ estimate of €225 million and €228 million, respectively. 

The company said volumes are expected to remain consistent with the second quarter. That compares with Jefferies’ expectation of a 16% volume increase in the third quarter.

Full-year guidance remains unchanged. Vallourec reiterated its expectation for improved EBITDA in the second half of 2025, citing support from higher invoiced international prices, cost reductions and increased U.S. steel tariffs.

To meet the full-year EBITDA consensus of €853 million, a 16% improvement in the second half versus the first half is needed.

The company maintained its 6 million-tonne full-year production target for the Mine and Forest segment. 

For the Tubes business, international volumes are projected to rise in the second half, with improved EBITDA per tonne tied to pricing and cost efficiency.

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