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FOREX-Plans for trade talks cheer risk currencies, hit safe-haven yen

Published 05/09/2019, 07:24
Updated 05/09/2019, 07:30
FOREX-Plans for trade talks cheer risk currencies, hit safe-haven yen
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* Trade-exposed currencies jump on U.S.-China trade talks

* Yen sold as risk-on mood returns

* Some moves retraced in afternoon trade as caution emerges

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Sept 5 (Reuters) - China's yuan and the

Australian dollar rallied after news on Thursday that China-U.S.

trade talks would resume next month, but investors sold the safe

haven yen, even though any de-escalation in the trade war would

benefit Japanese exporters.

Other factors helping support risk sentiment, were reduced

chances of Britain crashing out of the European Union on Oct. 31

without a deal, and a potential breakthrough in the Hong Kong

political crisis following a move to withdraw an extradition

bill that had sparked mass protests. Sterling held onto gains made overnight, after the British

parliament voted to stop a "no deal" Brexit and to prevent Prime

Minister Boris Johnson from calling a snap election that could

have given him the mandate to keep alive the threat of "no

deal". It still leaves Brexit up in the air, with possible outcomes

still ranging from a no-deal exit to abandoning the whole

endeavour.

The pound sat around $1.2241 and the euro EUR=EBS at

$1.1027, mostly holding on to overnight gains.

For the broader market, the resumption of China-U.S. trade

talks was the main factor at play. Talks will be held in

Washington in early October, China's commerce ministry said.

"This news has injected a fair amount of optimism in

markets," said Prashant Newnaha, senior rates strategist at TD

Securities in Singapore.

"It does seem that the markets were positioning more

bearishly, and now we've gotten this potential good news and the

markets are running with it," he said, adding global economic

indicators had also recently been showing some green shoots.

Sentiment has been skittish, however, and some analysts

sounded a note of caution.

"The U.S. is still going to raise tariffs next month and

December, as far as we know," said Joe Capurso, senior currency

strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.

"That's a negative for the world economy and the Chinese

economy."

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar .DXY lifted a

little from a one-week low to 98.482.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, AUD=D3 NZD=D3

Chinese yuan CNY= and South Korean won KRW= all jumped

against the dollar, while the yen JPY=EBS fell nearly 0.4% to

106.75 per dollar, its weakest in more than three weeks.

The Australian dollar touched a one-month high of $0.6825,

seen as a technical resistance level while the New Zealand

dollar hit a one-week peak of $0.6377. The trade-exposed won

climbed the most of Asia's currencies, rising about 0.5% to

1198.00 per dollar.

The Canadian dollar CAD= spiked sharply to C$1.3344 per

dollar after the Bank of Canada left interest rates on hold and

sounded less dovish than the market had expected.

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