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FOREX-Euro dips before Lagarde speaks but hopes for tariff reprieve lend support

Published 04/11/2019, 09:43
Updated 04/11/2019, 09:45
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro dips before Lagarde speaks but hopes for tariff reprieve lend support
DXY
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* Dollar neutral, index could see further losses

* Chinese yuan jumps to 12-week high vs dollar

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The euro edged down on Monday as

investors awaited Christine Lagarde's first speech as European

Central Bank president, but hopes that the United States may

choose not to impose tariffs on auto imports kept it near its

highest level in weeks.

Lagarde gives her first speech on Monday as ECB chief, and

markets are assuming she will stick with the easy policy script

of her predecessor, Mario Draghi. U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said in an interview

published on Sunday that Washington may not need to impose

tariffs on imported vehicles later this month after holding

"good conversations" with automakers in the European Union,

Japan and Korea.

The tariffs have already been delayed once by six months,

and trade experts say that could happen again. "That could lift the cloud over German manufacturing," said

Kenneth Broux, corporate forex strategist at Societe Generale.

"It could help to lift sentiment a lot" in the euro area, he

said, adding that he was "not convinced that we'll hear a lot of

policy direction substance" from Lagarde on Monday.

The euro was last trading down 0.15% on the day at $1.1150

but close to the $1.1180 high it reached last month. EUR=EBS

The shared currency rose as the dollar weakened on views

that the U.S. economy was starting to show signs of a slowdown,

prompting investors to expect more interest rate cuts from the

Federal Reserve.

An index that tracks the dollar against six major currencies

.DXY was last trading flat at 97.299. Broux said that having

breached a key technical level it now needs to rise above the

200-day moving average of 97.464 to avoid further losses.

The Chinese yuan rose to a 12-week high of 7.0225 against

the greenback in the offshore market as investors' risk

sentiment continued to improve. CNH=EBS

Traders were watching Sino-U.S. trade talks after both sides

said they had made progress toward a Phase-1 deal which might be

signed sometime this month. Sterling remained well bid at $1.2932 GBP=D3 , after last

month's rally from $1.2200, as investors wagered there was less

risk of a hard Brexit now that an election campaign was

underway.

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