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FOREX-Pound haunted by brexit woes, limps to weekly loss

Published 20/12/2019, 06:22
FOREX-Pound haunted by brexit woes, limps to weekly loss
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* Pound heads for largest weekly drop vs dollar since Oct.

* Greenback steadies after two slippery weeks

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook and Stanley White

SYDNEY, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Sterling was precariously poised

as it headed for its worst week in more than two years on

Friday, hobbled by familiar fears of a chaotic British exit from

the European Union, while firm data helped the dollar arrest its

recent slide.

Overnight the pound GBP= slipped below $1.30 for the first

time in a fortnight. It was last quoted at $1.3022 as worries

grow about whether a deal can be secured before the December

2020 hard deadline.

Cable has given up all the gains won after Prime Minister

Boris Johnson was re-elected last week and has slumped 2.3%

against the dollar since Monday. It has fared even worse against

the euro, headed for its largest weekly loss since July 2017.

EURGBP= .

"The market was always a little bit naive in a way to think

that a Tory election win was going to remove the fog of Brexit,"

said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia

Bank. "There were obviously some longs in weak hands that got

forced out."

More than three years since Britain voted to exit the

European Union in a 2016 referendum, Johnson's government will

leave the political bloc at the end of January and has set Dec.

2020 as a hard deadline to reach a trade agreement. Uncertainty over that prospect helped the safe-haven Swiss

franc to its highest in a month against the euro at 1.0881

francs EURCHF=R and its strongest against the dollar since

August CHF= .

Elsewhere, the greenback found broad support. Solid housing

starts and firmer-than-expected manufacturing data this week

helped to halt two weeks of declines against a basket of

currencies .DXY . The dollar index rose slightly to 97.440.

Nobody expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to move interest

rates anywhere when it meets in January. FEDWATCH

The dollar last traded a whisker stronger on the Japanese

yen JPY= at 109.31 and a tiny bit weaker against the euro

EUR= at $1.1116. The dollar has gained 0.7% on the yen this

week.

The best performer of the last 24 hours has been the

Australian dollar AUD=D3 , which rallied half a percent as

strong jobs data prompted traders to pare back bets on a

interest rate cut when the central bank meets in February.

Expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce

rates fell from about 60% to just under even. 0#YIB

"That's a notable change. When you drop under 50% the

psychology changes a little bit," said Westpac FX analyst Sean

Callow. "I can see why people are not quite convinced," said

Callow, who is sticking with a forecast for a cut.

The Aussie was last steady near a one-week high at $0.6883.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 was stable at $0.6607, in a week

where weakness in milk prices was offset by another round of

positive economic data.

The Chinese yuan CNH= held just on the strong side of the

symbolic 7-per-dollar as China's unveiling of new tariff

exemptions on U.S. chemical and oil product imports supported

optimism about the Sino-U.S. trade detente. China kept its lending benchmark rate unchanged on Friday,

but markets widely expect further monetary easing in 2020 to

arrest an economic slowdown.

The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) CNYLPR1Y=CFXS was

unchanged at 4.15% from the previous monthly fixing. The

five-year LPR CNYLPR5Y=CFXS also remained the same at 4.80%.

On Wednesday the People's Bank of China lowered rates on

14-day reverse repurchase agreements to ease monetary

conditions.

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