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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares slip, stimulus talk offers support

Published 10/03/2020, 01:37
Updated 10/03/2020, 01:45
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares slip, stimulus talk offers support
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* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* S&P 500 futures bounce 1.1% in Asia, recover early fall

* Nikkei slips 2.8%, but up from lows

* U.S. crude recovers a little of huge losses

* Markets cling to hope of monetary, fiscal stimulus

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, March 10 (Reuters) - Asian markets skidded again on

Tuesday after Wall Street suffered its biggest one-day loss

since the 2008 financial crisis, but the selling was restrained

by hopes for coordinated policy action to quell the panic.

Speculation of more central bank rate cuts and possible

fiscal stimulus saw U.S. Treasury yields edge up from historic

lows, and oil prices paused after the steepest fall since the

1991 Gulf war.

"The collapse in oil prices and associated credit concerns

for producers have added another negative layer to a market

already on its knees over the COVID-19 outbreak," said Rodrigo

Catril, a senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank.

"Talk of coordinated fiscal and monetary support is getting

louder," he added, noting U.S. President Donald Trump was

promising "major" steps to support the economy. Trump plans a news conference later on Tuesday to lay out

proposed measures and dealers reported rumours Treasury

Secretary Steve Mnuchin was touting major steps including buying

non-Treasury fixed income assets.

Investors seemed to take heart with E-Mini futures for the

S&P 500 ESc1 rallying 1.1% after an early slide.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 was still down 2.8%, but futures

NKc1 had come well off their lows. MSCI's broadest index of

Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS lost 0.3%.

Wall Street had been on the brink of a bear market with all

the major indices down almost 20% from their all-time peak,

which amazingly were touched just 13 sessions ago.

The Dow .DJI fell an eye-watering 7.79%, while the S&P 500

.SPX lost 7.60% and the Nasdaq .IXIC 7.29%. All 11 major

sectors of S&P 500 ended the session deep in the red, with

energy and financials taking the worst hit.

Energy stocks led the losses globally after Brent crude

futures LCOc1 closed down 24% as markets braced for a price

war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 did bounce $1.25 to $32.38 on Tuesday,

though that followed a 24% plunge overnight.

Headlines on the coronavirus were no brighter with Italy

ordering everyone across the country not to move around other

than for work and emergencies, while banning all public

gatherings. "Although uncertainty is very high, we now expect similar

restrictions will be put in place across Europe in the coming

weeks," warned economists at JPMorgan.

"We are now expecting a rolling 1H20 global growth

contraction and a powerful global disinflationary wave to take

hold," they added. "We expect the Fed to cut to zero at or

before its March 18 meeting."

CENTRAL BANK CIRCUIT BREAKER

Such has been the conflagration of market wealth, that

analysts assumed policy makers would have to react aggressively

to prevent a self-fulfilling economic crisis.

"Without a circuit-breaker, there is a risk the volatility

tightens global financial conditions and weakens economies,"

said Kim Mundy, an international economist at CBA.

"Because of the risks, we expect central banks to cut policy

interest rates further as well as use other, unconventional,

monetary policy tools."

The U.S. Federal Reserve on Monday sharply stepped up the

size of its fund injections into markets to head off stress.

Having delivered an emergency rate cut only last week,

investors are 0#FF: fully pricing an easing of at least 75

basis points at the next Fed meeting on March 18, while a cut to

near zero was now seen as likely by April.

Britain's finance minister is due to deliver his annual

budget on Wednesday and there is much talk of coordinated

stimulus with the Bank of England. The European Central Bank meets on Thursday and will be

under intense pressure to act, even though rates there are

already deeply negative. Bonds have charged ahead of the central banks to essentially

price in a global recession of unknown length.

Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries US10YT=RR reached as low

as 0.318% on Monday - a level unthinkable just a week ago -

before rising to 0.63% on Tuesday.

The dive in yields and Fed rate expectations had put an end

to a multi-year uptrend for the dollar, though it was finding

some support in early trading. USD/

The dollar edged up to 102.76 yen JPY= , having shed 2.8%

overnight in the largest one-day drop since late 2016. Chart

support was put around 101.20 but that still might not stop a

retreat to the next major bear target at 100.00.

The euro was holding at $1.1421 EUR= , after climbing 1.4%

on Monday to the highest in over 13 months at $1.1492.

Gold was restrained to $1,668.20 per ounce XAU= amid talk

some investors were having to sell to raise cash to cover margin

calls in stocks and other assets. GOL/

Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

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(Editing by Stephen Coates & Shri Navaratnam)

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