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Investing.com - Bank of America reports that a bearish trend for the US dollar is forming again following sharp negative revisions to US payrolls data in early August.
The bank’s FX Trend factor has turned bearish for the USD, with option metrics showing downtrend continuation signals against the British pound, Swedish krona, and South African rand. Macro (BCBA:BMAm) variables have also deteriorated marginally, supporting the bearish dollar thesis.
Bank of America found that foreign exchange investors were eager to short the dollar ahead of Tuesday’s US Consumer Price Index release. With CPI data largely matching consensus forecasts and core goods inflation remaining modest, the bank expects bearish USD trends to continue.
The Value factor is also bearish on the dollar, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars currently appearing undervalued according to Bank of America’s G10 dynamic factor model. The Swiss franc is identified as the most overvalued currency in the G10 group.
In emerging markets, the bank’s model shows the Indian rupee, Chilean peso, Indonesian rupiah, and Korean won as undervalued, while the Taiwan dollar, Israeli shekel, and Polish zloty appear overvalued.
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