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FOREX-Euro holds tight ranges ahead of Trump, ECB virus response

Published 12/03/2020, 01:07
Updated 12/03/2020, 01:09
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro holds tight ranges ahead of Trump, ECB virus response
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* Euro steady as markets wait for ECB at 1230 GMT

* Commodity currencies slip, yen firm

* Trump to address nation at 0100 GMT

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, March 12 (Reuters) - The euro held its nerve on

Thursday, as markets wait to see how aggressively the European

Central Bank will move to combat the coronavirus' economic

shock, following emergency rate cuts in the U.S. and Britain.

Investors expect the ECB will cut its main deposit rate by

10 basis points. But it is no certainty since rates are already

at a record-low -0.5% and further cuts could hurt bank margins

and so squeeze lending.

Markets also await 0100 GMT remarks from U.S. President

Donald Trump, who has downplayed the risks from coronavirus, but

said he would address economics and healthcare in his comments.

The euro EUR= was flat in Asian trade at $1.1260, its

softest so far in a week where it has soared on expectations of

further rate cuts in the United States.

Futures markets have priced the lower band of the U.S.

Federal Reserve's funds rate hitting zero by May. 0#FF:

Sterling meanwhile GBP= nursed modest losses after the

Bank of England made a surprise half-a-percentage-point rate cut

in tandem with a $39 billion government stimulus package.

It last sat at $1.2815.

"There's a sense to which currency markets are going to

reward the currencies of countries that are seen to be using

whatever space they've got for easier fiscal and monetary

policy," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at NAB.

"(But) even if the ECB wheel out a cocktail of lower rates,

stepped up QE, more long-term ... in itself, that's not going to

inspire a huge amount of confidence that the eurozone economy is

going to escape recession. The hope would be that we'll have

something more tangible on the fiscal side sooner rather than

later."

A press conference is due at 1230 GMT in Frankfurt,

following the monetary policy meeting.

Elsewhere, the dollar advanced against commodity currencies

and nursed losses on the safe-haven yen amid a slew of dire

headlines on the coronavirus outlook.

The World Health Organization (WHO) overnight described the

outbreak as a pandemic. Italy, where deaths rose by nearly a

third overnight, has shuttered all shops except supermarkets,

food stores and pharmacies. Australia announced it would pump A$11 billion ($7 billion)

in fiscal stimulus into its economy by June. On Wall Street, the longest-ever bull market for U.S. stocks

ended overnight with the Dow Jones index sliding into bear

market territory. .N

The yen JPY= was a touch firmer at 104.47 per dollar. The

Australian and New Zealand dollars each fell about 0.2%. The

Aussie AUD=D3 last bought $0.6471 and the kiwi NZD=D3

$0.6257.

($1 = 1.5454 Australian dollars)

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