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FOREX-Dollar gains as Fed cuts rates, but easing outlook uncertain

Published 18/09/2019, 19:39
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar gains as Fed cuts rates, but easing outlook uncertain
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* Fed cuts rates, but gives uncertain outlook

* Fed reduces rates on excess reserves

* Dollar holds near 7-week high vs yen after Fed decision

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(New throughout, updates prices, market activity and analyst comment following Fed decision and

statement)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed on Wednesday and traded near a seven-week high against

the yen, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, as expected, but

gave an uncertain outlook on future easing.

The dollar touched session peaks against the yen after the Fed decision, rising in seven of the last

eight sessions.

In cutting interest rates by 25 basis points for the second time this year, the Fed gave a nod to

ongoing global risks and "weakened" business investment and exports.

But new projections showed policymakers at the median expected rates to stay within the new range

through 2020. However, in a sign of ongoing divisions within the Fed, seven of 17 policymakers projected

one more quarter-point rate cut in 2019. "Another rate cut from the Fed to try to shield the U.S. economy from global headwinds. Today's move

was more of a hawkish easing in that the Fed's median forecasts for rates suggested no more cuts this

year, while some officials dissented," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business

Solutions in Washington.

"The tone of the Fed's new forecasts remained largely sanguine despite the global risks. Consequently,

the dollar isn't likely to stray far from recent highs."

In mid-afternoon trading, the dollar rose 0.2% to 108.35 yen, just below a seven-week high of 108.37

yen tested overnight. The dollar index, tracking the unit against a basket of other currencies .DXY , was

up 0.2% at 98.49.

The euro fell 0.3% to $1.1031 JPY=

Aside from cutting interest rates, the Fed changed two key rates used to manage its main policy lever.

It lowered the interest it pays on excess bank reserves (IOER) by 30 basis points, to 1.80%. The rate now

sits 20 basis points below the top of the target range, compared to 15 basis points previously.

The Fed also set its offering rate for any necessary operations in the $2.2 trillion repurchase

agreement, or repo, market, at 1.70%, five basis points below the bottom of the new target range for the

policy rate.

The changes came after turmoil this week in funding markets briefly pushed the overnight bank-to-bank

lending rates above the U.S. central bank's target range.

After the Fed releases its policy decision, attention will turn to the Bank of Japan's meeting ending

on Thursday, to see whether it eases policy, too.

Deepening negative rates will be an option if the BOJ eases, although the central bank may accompany

that with measures to mitigate the pain on financial institutions, sources have told Reuters. ========================================================

Currency bid prices at 2:33PM (1833 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1035 $1.1071 -0.33% -3.78% +1.1075 +1.1026

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.2800 108.1200 +0.15% -1.80% +108.3700 +108.0900

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 119.49 119.69 -0.17% -5.33% +119.8100 +119.4200

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9967 0.9930 +0.37% +1.56% +0.9973 +0.9927

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2469 1.2500 -0.25% -2.26% +1.2510 +1.2440

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3296 1.3241 +0.42% -2.50% +1.3302 +1.3240

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6828 0.6864 -0.52% -3.14% +0.6869 +0.6822

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0998 1.0994 +0.04% -2.27% +1.1019 +1.0985

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8847 0.8855 -0.09% -1.52% +0.8880 +0.8846

NZ NZD= 0.6322 0.6356 -0.53% -5.88% +0.6362 +0.6316

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 8.9567 8.9210 +0.40% +3.68% +8.9712 +8.9230

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.8840 9.8792 +0.05% -0.22% +9.9062 +9.8678

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.7218 9.6693 +0.19% +8.46% +9.7316 +9.6669

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.7280 10.7078 +0.19% +4.52% +10.7431 +10.7040

Dollar positions https://tmsnrt.rs/302mqb3

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