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GLOBAL FOREX-Dollar gains on hopes for trade, Fed on hold

Published 20/09/2019, 16:56
© Reuters.  GLOBAL FOREX-Dollar gains on hopes for trade, Fed on hold
DXY
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* Sterling cools on doubts about Brexit deal

* Futures imply traders see one more U.S. rate cut in 2019

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Updates market action, changes dateline, previous LONDON)

By Richard Leong

NEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rose against a

basket of currencies on Friday, putting it on track for its

first weekly increase in three, prompted by hopes of progress in

U.S.-China trade talks and that the Federal Reserve would not

lower rates aggressively.

Sterling retreated from a two-month high versus the

greenback after the Irish foreign minister said that London and

the European Union were not yet close to a Brexit deal.

U.S. and Chinese deputy trade negotiators are set to

continue talks that began on Thursday in an effort to lay the

groundwork for high-level discussions in early October that will

determine whether the world's biggest economies can reach a

trade deal. While tariffs and worries about protracted supply-chain

disruption have hampered global business activity, the U.S.

economy is still faring relatively well, analysts said.

"The U.S. economy is clearly doing better than anyone else,"

said Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FX Street in New York.

"I'm still in the stronger dollar camp."

With housing starts at a 12-year high and factory output

rebounding in August, the longest U.S. expansion on record seems

to have more legs, he said.

At 11:36 a.m. (1536 GMT), an index that tracks the dollar

against a basket of six major currencies .DXY was up 0.31% at

98.58. It was on course to gain 0.3% on the week.

The euro EUR=EBS fell 0.34% on the day at $1.1003, while

the greenback slipped 0.11% to 107.935 yen.

Against a favorable economic backdrop, the Fed lowered key

lending rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, but signaled a

higher bar to further reductions in borrowing costs.

Interest rates futures implied traders saw a 64% chance of

another rate cut by year-end, compared with 69% late on

Thursday, CME Group's FedWatch program showed.

Meanwhile, sterling was briefly the biggest gainer overnight

against the dollar after European Commission President

Jean-Claude Juncker said late Thursday he thought Brussels could

reach agreement with Britain on its departure from the European

Union. Sterling's gains faded after Ireland's foreign minister's

comments on a Brexit deal, and a Financial Times report that

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson had told colleagues he did

not expect to be able to reach full "legally operable" deal

covering the Irish border at a meeting of EU leaders.

The pound GBP=D3 was down 0.19% at $1.2498 after touching

a two-month high at $1.2582. It reached a four-month high of

87.875 pence EURGBP=D3 per euro before easing to 88.03 pence,

up 0.11 on the day.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 11:34AM (1534 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1000 $1.1040 -0.36% -4.09% +1.1068 +1.1001

Dollar/Yen JPY= 107.9300 108.0000 -0.06% -2.11% +108.0800 +107.7800

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 118.73 119.27 -0.45% -5.93% +119.3700 +118.7400

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9929 0.9927 +0.02% +1.17% +0.9935 +0.9891

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2492 1.2524 -0.26% -2.08% +1.2581 +1.2462

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3264 1.3260 +0.03% -2.74% +1.3300 +1.3255

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6769 0.6789 -0.29% -3.97% +0.6809 +0.6770

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0925 1.0960 -0.32% -2.92% +1.0969 +1.0923

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8805 0.8814 -0.10% -1.99% +0.8845 +0.8788

NZ NZD= 0.6257 0.6301 -0.70% -6.85% +0.6308 +0.6258

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.0514 8.9783 +0.81% +4.78% +9.0519 +8.9656

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.9552 9.9136 +0.42% +0.50% +9.9730 +9.9111

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.7199 9.6858 -0.03% +8.44% +9.7272 +9.6612

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.6926 10.6960 -0.03% +4.18% +10.7195 +10.6880

FX market positions https://tmsnrt.rs/30att1o

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