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FOREX-Asia's currencies edge higher as China rebound gathers steam

Published 19/10/2020, 04:51
© Reuters.
EUR/USD
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* Yuan, AUD and NZD advance as China recovery holds momentum
* Dollar steady elsewhere as election risks temper bets
* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Oct 19 (Reuters) - Asia's trade-exposed
currencies inched higher on Monday as China's rebound from the
COVID-19 pandemic stayed on course last quarter, even as caution
about the U.S. election outcome kept the U.S. dollar supported
against other majors.
China's gross domestic product grew 4.9% in the September
quarter from a year earlier, slower than forecast but faster
than the third quarter and aided by strong gains in industrial
output and an acceleration in retail sales. The yuan and risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand
dollars dipped from session highs after the GDP headline miss,
but stayed bought on views the consumption data was a harbinger
of better growth in the current quarter.
The yuan CNY= was last steady in onshore trade at 6.6982
per dollar, after hitting a fresh 18-month peak of 6.6852 in
morning trade. CNY/
The Aussie AUD= and kiwi NZD= both edged 0.1% higher,
trimming earlier gains as last week's dovish central bank
remarks remain a weight on the Antipodeans. AUD/
"The (Chinese) GDP numbers came in slightly below
expectations, but the monthly data shows there is no reason to
be overly pessimistic," said Yoshiko Shimamine, chief economist
at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo.
"China's economy remains on the recovery path, driven by a
rebound in exports. Consumer spending is also headed in the
right direction, but we cannot say it has completely shaken off
the drag caused by the coronavirus."
Industrial output in September expanded 6.9% from a year
earlier, while retail sales grew 3.3%, both well ahead of
expectations.
The dollar was broadly stable elsewhere, with investor
worries about rising coronavirus cases, the looming U.S.
election and fading prospects of any fiscal stimulus beforehand
providing support.
The dollar index =USD was following a 0.7% rise last week.
The euro EUR= held just above a two-week low at $1.1713.
The yen JPY= was steady at 105.40 per dollar while the
pound GBP= also held its ground as investors clung to hopes
for a Brexit breakthrough.
"The dollar can remain elevated this week," said
Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Kim Mundy. "A lack of
fiscal stimulus and rising coronavirus infections raise concerns
about the global economic outlook."
Faint hopes that Democrats and the White House could agree
on a new spending programme was tempered by the opposition of
Senate Republicans and as investors focused on what the election
outcome means for stimulus later.
A victory by Democrat Joe Biden was seen weakening the
dollar due to perception of bigger spending.
Fifteen days out from election day, Biden leads Trump by
about 10 points in national polls, and has a narrow lead in
several battleground states. The pair are due to face off in a
final debate on Thursday.
"Markets will be attentive to any potential shift in polls,
although traditionally the last debate has less impact in public
opinion," Barclays analysts said in a note.
"The main risk for markets now would be a tightening in
polls, which would reduce the likelihood of a large Democratic
fiscal stimulus package and could raise the likelihood of a long
contested election."
Markets were mostly unmoved by the landslide victory of
Jacinda Ardern's Labour Party in New Zealand's general election,
with investors keeping a wary eye on protests in Thailand.
The baht THB= slipped 0.1% as its peers rose on Monday.
EMRG/FRX
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 11:49AM (349 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Euro/Dollar EUR=EBS $1.1707 $1.1718 -0.09% +4.43% +1.1730 +1.1707
Dollar/Yen JPY=D3 105.4100 105.3950 +0.01% -2.95% +105.4950 +105.3700
Euro/Yen EURJPY= 123.40 123.48 -0.06% +1.19% +123.6300 +123.4000
Dollar/Swiss CHF=EBS 0.9156 0.9152 +0.05% -5.37% +0.9157 +0.9146
Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3 1.2926 1.2920 +0.12% -2.47% +1.2944 +1.2888
Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3 1.3186 1.3184 +0.01% +1.49% +1.3191 +1.3170
Aussie/Dollar AUD=D3 0.7086 0.7078 +0.13% +1.00% +0.7108 +0.7073
NZ NZD=D3 0.6614 0.6605 +0.14% -1.71% +0.6629 +0.6605
Dollar/Dollar


All spots FX=
Tokyo spots AFX=
Europe spots EFX=
Volatilities FXVOL=
Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX


(Editing by Sam Holmes and Jacqueline Wong)

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