FOREX-Brexit confusion weighs on pound, dents risk appetite

Published 23/10/2019, 03:34
© Reuters.  FOREX-Brexit confusion weighs on pound, dents risk appetite
US10YT=X
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* British parliament approves Brexit deal, but rejects

timetable

* Traders search for positives amid Brexit chaos

* Currencies look for clues on U.S.-China trade war

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The pound edged lower on Wednesday

after an overnight fall as Brexit hung in the balance, with the

British Parliament still divided on how, when or even if to

engineer Britain's departure from the European Union.

The yen rose against the U.S. dollar and the Australian

dollar as some investors sought a safe haven amid doubts about

Brexit and efforts to de-escalate a bruising trade war between

the United States and China.

A decline in equities and a rise in U.S. Treasury prices in

Asia underscored investors' aversion to taking on big risks as

the drama over Britain's departure from the EU grows

increasingly complex by the day.

On Tuesday, British lawmakers voted by 329 to 299 in favour

of Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Brexit plan, but then opposed

Johnson's extremely tight timetable to complete the legislative

process in three days by 322 to 308 votes. It is now up to the EU to decide whether to extend Britain's

Oct. 31 deadline for its departure from the bloc, although there

is hope Britain can avoid the worst case scenario of leaving the

EU without any deal in place.

With no major economic data scheduled in Asia on Wednesday,

traders will be left to ponder whether Britain will hold a

general election to break the impasse.

Investors are also closely watching for signs of a thaw in

the U.S.-China trade war, which has cast a shadow over financial

markets and global economic growth.

"The pound will adjust in a narrow range for the time

being," said Junichi Ishikawa, senior foreign exchange

strategist at IG Securities in Tokyo.

"For now, the risk of a no-deal Brexit has receded, but

there are still political uncertainties."

The pound GBP=D3 fell 0.16% to $1.2856 after a 0.7% drop

on Tuesday.

Against the euro, the pound EURGBP=D3 eased to 86.55 pence

following a 0.5% decline in the previous session.

Sterling initially rose on Tuesday after parliament approved

a second reading of the Brexit deal, but then fell after

lawmakers rejected the timetable.

It was the first time parliament has signalled support for a

deal on how Britain would leave the EU, but Johnson had warned

prior to the votes that he would push for an election if his

timetable for Brexit were defeated.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies stood at 97.545, holding on to a 0.2% gain posted on

Tuesday.

The U.S. currency JPY=EBS fell 0.15% to 108.32 yen. The

Australian dollar AUDJPY=EBS , whose fortunes are closely tied

to global trade and commodity prices, gave up 0.32% to 74.16

In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS traded at 7.0842

per U.S. dollar, weaker than its previous close of 7.0778. In

the offshore market, it CNH=D3 eased slightly to 7.0841.

Treasury prices rose in Asia as some investors sought safe

havens, which pushed the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury

notes US10YT=RR down to 1.7519% and weighed on the dollar-yen

cross.

The United States and China are trying to finalise the first

phase of a trade agreement before an Asia-Pacific Economic

Cooperation summit in Chile in mid-November.

An exclusive Reuters report that one of the U.S. advisors to

U.S. President Donald Trump on trade talks with China will leave

government could introduce some uncertainty about future trade

talks.

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