FOREX-China stimulus boosts Aussie, kiwi; markets await U.S. jobs data

Published 06/09/2019, 12:06
Updated 06/09/2019, 12:10
© Reuters.  FOREX-China stimulus boosts Aussie, kiwi; markets await U.S. jobs data
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Saikat Chatterjee

LONDON, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Risky currencies including the

Australian dollar surged on Friday after China's central bank

cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves, with

markets also expecting the European Central Bank to unveil more

stimulus next week.

The People's Bank of China said it was cutting banks'

reserve requirements for the third time this year, sending a

ripple of optimism through currency markets though analysts

questioned how much stimulus global central banks have left.

"This won't be a flood of stimulus," said Neil Mellor, a

senior FX strategist at BNY Mellon in London.

"China and many other countries are in the same boat with

fiscal policy constrained by debt and central banks resorting to

jawboning and some targeted easing."

The Chinese currency in the offshore market CNH=D3

extended gains and was trading up 0.4% against the greenback at

7.1120 yuan.

The Australian dollar - its fortunes closely intertwined

with the Chinese economy - gained 0.3% to $0.6837 AUD=D3 and

strengthened 0.7% versus the Swiss franc AUDCHF= .

Appetite for risky assets, already firm in early London

trading thanks to strong data out of the United States, received

a further boost after China unveiled its latest round of policy

easing.

DATA EYED

The dollar steadied against its rivals, and was heading for

its biggest weekly drop in a month, as markets still expect the

Federal Reserve would cut U.S. interest rates this month, even

if the U.S. non-farm payrolls report on Friday is stronger than

expected.

The dollar index .DXY slipped 0.1% to 98.32 and was down

0.54% so far this week, its biggest weekly drop since early

August.

"The latest risk rally rests on a number of pillars like the

recent upbeat U.S. data, receding political risks in the UK and

hopes for an abatement of the US-China trade tensions," said

Valentin Marinov, head of G-10 FX research and strategy at

Credit Agricole (PA:CAGR) in London.

Surveys suggested the U.S. economy was in better shape than

investors had feared. Services activity accelerated in August

and private employers increased hiring more than expected.

The U.S. non-farm payrolls report due later on Friday was

expected to show 158,000 jobs were added and the unemployment

rate remained unchanged at 3.7% in August.

"Investors are now hoping they can take this week's

positivity over the finishing line, so fingers crossed the

August U.S. payroll report ... doesn't throw a damp towel on the

proceedings," said Stephen Innes, Asia Pacific market strategist

at AxiTrader.

Despite the positive data, bond markets expect the Fed to

cut interest rates this month. A total of 55 basis points of

rate cuts are expected this year.

A combination of likely dovish central banks and decent

economic data also encouraged investors to buy the Canadian

dollar CAD=D3 and the Swedish crown SEK=D3 against the U.S.

dollar.

The European Central Bank is leaning towards a package that

includes a rate cut, a beefed-up pledge to keep rates low for

longer and compensation for banks over the side-effects of

negative rates, sources told Reuters last week.

REER valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2PZZYM2

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