FOREX-Dollar at 2-month highs before U.S. growth data

Published 26/07/2019, 12:43
FOREX-Dollar at 2-month highs before U.S. growth data
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Saikat Chatterjee
LONDON, July 26 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed to two-month
highs on Friday and looked set for a second straight weekly gain
as the market awaited U.S. gross domestic product numbers for
the second quarter.
The dollar's advances were also helped by widening yield
differentials between U.S. and German debt. Spreads were also
holding at two-month highs at 244 bps.
Investors were disappointed by a lack of policy action from
the European Central Bank at a meeting on Thursday. Their
attention will now shift to a Federal Reserve meeting next week,
where policymakers are expected to cut interest rates by a
quarter point.
Second-quarter growth figures for the United States due
later on Friday will provide a backdrop for the Fed meeting.
Expectations are for a 1.8% expansion in U.S. GDP, compared with
3.1% in the first quarter.
"A number below the 1.8% mark should be enough to convince
market participants that the Fed will ease policy more than once
this year and would weigh down on the dollar," said Konstantinos
Anthis, head of research at ADSS in Abu Dhabi.
"Conversely, if the GDP report surprises to the upside - a
printing between 2.0% and 2.5% should be regarded as
sufficiently bullish - the greenback will look to extend its
gains as the odds for more easing down the road will retreat."
Against a basket of its rivals .DXY , the dollar rose 0.1%
to 97.94, its highest levels since late May.
The euro EUR=EBS traded at $1.1136, a recovery from a
two-month low of $1.1102 after the ECB decision on Thursday but
down 0.1% on the day. For the week, the single currency is down
0.7%.
After the ECB session, President Mario Draghi indicated the
bank was prepared to cut rates at its next meeting, in
September, and consider other options for easing.
Government bond purchases and a revamped policy message are
also likely at the next meeting, four sources close to the
discussion told Reuters. Sterling GBP=D3 edged down to $1.2430 and was on course
for a 0.6% weekly loss. Cable has stabilised since Boris Johnson
became Britain's new prime minister, but uncertainty remains
about Britain's negotiations to leave the European Union.

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