FOREX-Dollar breaks 4-day losing streak on trade tensions

Published 07/10/2019, 12:12
Updated 07/10/2019, 12:20
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar breaks 4-day losing streak on trade tensions
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* Dollar index firms on doubts over Sino-U.S. trade talks

* Chinese yuan down 0.3%, euro undermined by more weak data

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Sujata Rao

LONDON, Oct 7 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed on Monday,

breaking a four-day losing streak, as fresh concerns over the

trade war between the United States and China kept risk appetite

subdued and trade-oriented currencies such as the Australian

dollar under pressure.

A Bloomberg report that Chinese officials were reluctant to

agree to U.S. President Donald Trump's broad trade deal cast a

pall over investors, after weak U.S. economic data last week

raised concerns about the economic outlook. "The trade news has boosted safe-haven demand for the dollar

and hit the high-beta currencies such as the Aussie and the

Swedish crown," said Kamal Sharma, a London-based director of

G10 FX strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

The dollar, which tends to benefit when trade tensions flare

up, rose further off one-month lows hit last week when a string

of poor data suggested the conflict was inflicting a bigger toll

on the world's biggest economy.

The greenback firmed 0.15% against a basket of currencies to

98.90, after weakening around 1% last week. It rose by more than

0.5% versus the Swedish crown and the Norwegian currency NOK= .

"Markets have a bit of a risk-off tone today, and risk-off

is generally dollar positive," Stephen Gallo, head of FX at BMO

Capital Markets, said, though he noted the dollar faced

short-term headwinds.

Hedge funds have added to their massive long dollar

positions, which rose in the latest week to a nine-week high,

according to Reuters calculations and Commodity Futures Trading

Commission data released on Friday. euro remains out of favour, the data showed, with

bearish bets on the currency climbing sharply.

The latest data appeared to justify the pessimism, with

German industrial orders falling more than expected in August on

weaker domestic demand - clear evidence that a manufacturing

slump is pushing Europe's largest economy into recession.

The euro traded as low as $1.0964 EUR=EBS but held off

2-1/2-year lows of $1.0879 hit last Tuesday.

The Chinese yuan CNH= fell 0.3% to 7.13 per dollar in

offshore trade. There was no onshore trading as China is still

on a break for its national day. Gallo said the clouds over the

dollar offered some support to the yuan.

"If things break down this week, I don't think you will see

dollar/yuan above 7.20 on that headline," he added.

Other trade-exposed currencies such as the Australian dollar

AUD=D3 and the Korean won KRW= also fell, with the former

losing a quarter percent and the won down 0.4%.

Sterling slipped 0.2% to around $1.23 GBP=D3 , with only a

few weeks until the UK's scheduled exit from the European Union

on Oct. 31.

Speculators raise dollar positions https://tmsnrt.rs/35bKsA3

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