FOREX-Dollar drifts down as trade-deal progress stokes cautious risk appetite

Published 10/09/2019, 02:09
Updated 10/09/2019, 02:10
FOREX-Dollar drifts down as trade-deal progress stokes cautious risk appetite
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* Mnuchin touts 'a lot of progress' on U.S.-China trade

talks

* Bond yields rise, dollar and yen slip

* Asian traders await Chinese economic data

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The dollar drifted lower on

Tuesday as investor appetite for higher risk currencies found

support on a report of German stimulus plans, diminishing

chances of a no-deal Brexit and hopes of a breakthrough in the

Sino-U.S. trade war.

The mood lifted the Australian dollar AUD=D3 to a six-week

high of $0.6875 and the pound GBP=D3 also hit a six-week high

of $1.2385 as a British law blocking a no-deal exit from the

European Union came into force. The safe-haven yen JPY=EBS touched a five-week low of

107.46 per dollar as risk appetite rose. Moves were modest in

early Asian trade, however, with traders broadly remaining on

the sidelines ahead of a key European Central Bank meeting on

Thursday, at which policymakers are expected to ease monetary

policy.

Investors also await Chinese inflation data due around 0130

GMT, which is expected to show another year-on-year decline in

factory prices, adding to arguments for more central bank

stimulus. Ratings house Fitch on Tuesday cut growth forecasts for

Europe and China citing rising protectionism. Market hopes for a breakthrough rested on confidence

overnight from U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who told

Fox television that there had been "a lot of progress" on a

U.S-China trade deal and that the U.S. side was "prepared to

negotiate". Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at National

Australia Bank, said trade remained subdued with few drivers

beyond Mnuchin's comments and the prospect of stimulus in

Germany. However, the absence of any in immediately bad news for

markets has helped sentiment.

"It was largely a case of 'Hakuna Matata' for markets,"

Strickland said, referring to a Swahili phrase meaning "no

worries", made famous by the 1994 Disney film The Lion King.

The remarks pushed U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasuries

US10YT=RR to a three-week high, where they held in early Asian

trade. The euro also rallied to as high as $1.0167 following a

Reuters report that Germany may set up public investment

agencies to boost fiscal stimulus without breaching national

spending rules. Sterling, meanwhile, barely shifted when Britain's

parliament voted, as expected, to stymie Prime Minister Boris

Johnson's bid for an early election, which prompted him to vow

that he would secure a Brexit deal at an EU summit next month.

It sat just below its six-week peak at $1.2344 at 0005 GMT.

"While I am loath to go anywhere near the pound, I like what

I see in the price action," said Chris Weston, head of research

at Melbourne forex brokerage Pepperstone Group.

"If GBP/USD kicks up through $1.2354 again, I would be

looking for longs, with a stop through $1.2234."

The Chinese yuan CNH= trod water in offshore trade to hold

around 7.1140 per dollar ahead of the economic data.

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