FOREX-Dollar drifts lower ahead of Fed rate decision

Published 17/09/2019, 15:18
FOREX-Dollar drifts lower ahead of Fed rate decision
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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DXY
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* Market awaits 25 basis-point cut by the Fed

* Investors also worried by spike in overnight rates

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(New throughout, updates prices, market activity, commens, adds FX table; new byline, changes dateline;

previous LONDON)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Sept 17 (Reuters) - The dollar dipped on Tuesday in choppy range-bound trading on the eve of

an expected U.S. interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, but the greenback drew support from

geopolitical tensions.

The dollar has fallen in three of the last four sessions, and is down so far this month.

Investors were also watching an overnight spike in dollar funding costs.

The overnight rate, or the cost for banks and Wall Street dealers to borrow dollars USONRP= , surged

to 10% on Tuesday, the highest since at least January 2003, according to Refinitiv data.

Analysts attributed quarterly corporate tax payments and settlement of $78 billion in Treasuries

supply for the spike on Monday in interest rates in the repurchase agreement (repo) market. "This morning's funding squeeze has put some upward pressure earlier in the dollar, but that is not

likely to be a longer-term driver," said Erik Nelson, currency strategist, at Wells Fargo Securities in

New York.

"We also have the Fed tomorrow and market participants are marking time ahead of the decision. So it's

pretty much back and forth right now," he added.

Though investors expect a 25 basis points rate cut, some believe this may be the last rate cut for a

while absent more evidence of a U.S. economic slowdown. Money markets are pricing in about an 80%

probability of another rate cut by year end.

"If the Fed does cut 25 bps, then we think it will be the last time until we really do see signs of

recession," Brown Brothers Harriman strategists said in a note.

Against a basket of its rivals .DXY , the greenback edged 0.1% lower to 98.541.

Geopolitical tensions supported the dollar.

Though oil prices pulled back slightly from Monday's four-month highs, they remained about 15% higher

than Friday's close on wariness that attacks on Saudi Arabian crude oil facilities could trigger a

military response. O/R

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday he did not want to go to war but also said Washington was

still investigating if Iran was behind the strikes. The euro was up 0.3% at $1.1030 EUR= .

Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.1% at 108.28 yen JPY= .

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 9:58AM (1358 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1029 $1.1000 +0.26% -3.84% +1.1039 +1.0991

Dollar/Yen JPY= 108.2300 108.1200 +0.10% -1.84% +108.3600 +108.0300

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 119.39 118.95 +0.37% -5.42% +119.5000 +118.8800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9959 0.9925 +0.34% +1.48% +0.9968 +0.9914

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2438 1.2428 +0.08% -2.51% +1.2443 +1.2394

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3279 1.3235 +0.33% -2.63% +1.3298 +1.3234

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6842 0.6864 -0.32% -2.94% +0.6870 +0.6831

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0985 1.0922 +0.58% -2.39% +1.0992 +1.0914

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8865 0.8848 +0.19% -1.32% +0.8889 +0.8849

NZ NZD= 0.6336 0.6343 -0.11% -5.67% +0.6349 +0.6323

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 8.9512 8.9599 -0.10% +3.62% +8.9818 +8.9405

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 9.8742 9.8593 +0.15% -0.32% +9.9046 +9.8568

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.6885 9.6558 +0.62% +8.08% +9.7286 +9.6530

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.6885 10.6226 +0.62% +4.14% +10.7151 +10.6240

Dollar positions https://tmsnrt.rs/302mqb3

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