FOREX-Dollar firms as traders look to trade talks, Fed for direction

Published 07/10/2019, 19:56
Updated 07/10/2019, 20:00
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar firms as traders look to trade talks, Fed for direction
DXY
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* Dollar index up slightly on the day

* Sterling edges lower on Brexit worries

(Updates with afternoon trading)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK, Oct 7 (Reuters) - The dollar edged higher against

a basket of currencies on Monday as traders awaited U.S.-China

trade talks later in the week for clues to the state of the

prolonged trade war between Washington and Beijing, even as

chances of a deal appeared low.

Investors' overall appetite for risk was weak on Monday

after a Bloomberg report said that Chinese officials were

reluctant to agree to U.S. President Donald Trump's broad trade

deal. Top-level U.S.-China trade talks are scheduled to resume

next Thursday and Friday, when Chinese Vice Premier Liu He meets

with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury

Secretary Steven Mnuchin in Washington.

"The tone of markets overall has softened again today

following news that Chinese officials are reluctant to agree to

a broad trade agreement with the U.S.," Shaun Osborne, chief

market strategist, at Scotiabank in Toronto, said in a note.

The dollar index .DXY , which measures the greenback

against a basket of other currencies, was up 0.17% at 98.979.

The dollar strengthened against the safe haven Japanese yen

after a Fox Business reporter tweeted that the Chinese Commerce

Ministry said that China is ready to do a deal with the United

States on parts of negotiations both sides agree upon.

The dollar was last up 0.36% against the yen at 107.32 yen.

Still, lingering concerns over the trade war pressured

trade-oriented currencies such as the Australian dollar, which

slipped 0.56% against the greenback.

"A trade agreement between the United States and China still

does not seem to be imminent," Marc-André Fongern, a strategist

at MAF Global Forex in Frankfurt said.

Investors also awaited the U.S. Federal Open Market

Committee's minutes from its September meeting, due on

Wednesday, for clues to whether the Fed will cut rates at its

October meeting, in what would be its third interest rate cut

for the year.

"(Fed Chair Jerome) Powell and his colleagues might

increasingly consider a more aggressive loosening of monetary

policy," said Fongern.

"This would only temporarily weaken the dollar, as it looks

set to remain in demand as a safe-haven currency," he said.

While the dollar has been in favor for many months now

thanks to its relatively high interest rate and a strong

economy, the ongoing trade war with China and a scramble for

funding in U.S. money markets have added fuel to the fire in

recent weeks.

The greenback hit a 28-month high against the euro early

last week. On Monday, the common currency was up about flat on

the day.

Sterling slipped against the greenback as investors grew

increasingly concerned that Britain and the European Union were

no closer to agreeing a Brexit withdrawal deal. The pound was

0.3% lower on the day.

Speculators raise dollar positions https://tmsnrt.rs/35bKsA3

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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