FOREX-Dollar gains before manufacturing data, euro crumbles on German inflation

Published 01/10/2019, 01:37
Updated 01/10/2019, 01:40
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar gains before manufacturing data, euro crumbles on German inflation
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Dollar gains against major currencies

* Weak German data hits euro

* RBA big event risk in Asian trading

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Oct 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar traded near its

highest in almost two weeks versus the yen before the release of

data that is forecast to show the U.S. manufacturing sector

returned to growth, which would ease concern about the impact of

the ongoing Sino-U.S. trade war.

The euro teetered near its lowest in more than two years

versus the greenback as weak economic data from Germany

reinforced expectations that monetary policy in the euro zone

will remain accommodative for an extended period.

The Australian dollar edged lower before an expected

interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) later

on Tuesday.

A host of economic data and comments from central bankers

this week will set the tone for major currencies as traders try

to determine how far policymakers go to bolster growth.

"Economic data can be supportive of the dollar, and the

Federal Reserve's comments are not as dovish as some people

think," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at

Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.

"An RBA rate cut and the risk of a stagnant European economy

both should be positive for the greenback."

The dollar traded at 107.85 yen JPY=EBS early in Asia,

close to its strongest level in almost two weeks.

The yen remained weak after the Bank of Japan's tankan

showed business confidence in the third quarter slid to its

lowest in six years. Trading could be subdued in Asian time because China's

financial markets are closed until Monday for public holidays.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies rose 0.03% to 99.402, approaching the highest in more

than two years.

The Institute for Supply Management's measure of U.S.

manufacturing activity due later on Tuesday is forecast to show

a return to expansion in September, but just barely.

In August U.S. manufacturing activity contracted for the

first time in three years due to the U.S.-China trade war.

Several Fed policymakers are scheduled to speak this week,

but traders said they will focus most on comments from Fed

Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday for hints about the direction

of U.S. monetary policy.

The Fed has cut interest rates twice this year, but there

are signs that the Fed is reluctant to ease policy further

because the jobs market remains strong.

The euro stood at $1.0900 EUR=EBS in Asia, nursing a 0.4%

decline in the previous session when it slid to $1.0885, which

is the lowest since May 12, 2017.

Annual inflation in Germany, Europe's largest economy,

slowed to the lowest in almost three years, data on Monday

showed. The European Central Bank unleashed a new round of monetary

easing measures on Sept. 12, but there is growing concern that

the central bank is reaching the limits of what it can achieve

and the burden will fall to eurozone governments to boost fiscal

spending.

The Australian dollar fetched $0.6751 AUD=D3 , down 0.02%

in early trade.

Australia's central bank is all but certain to cut its cash

rate to a record low of 0.75% on Tuesday and will likely ease

again in early 2020 to boost inflation and support a stuttering

economy, a Reuters poll showed. The New Zealand dollar traded at $0.6264 NZD=D3 , which is

within striking distance of a four-year low. The kiwi has taken

a hit as weakening business confidence bolstered expectations

for monetary easing.

Japan big manufacturers' mood worsens - BOJ tankan

inflation slows unexpectedly in September c.bank seen easing policy in Oct, rates seen at

0.5% by early 2020 ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

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