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FOREX-Dollar holds gains on progress in U.S.-China trade talks

Published 08/11/2019, 02:28
Updated 08/11/2019, 02:36
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar holds gains on progress in U.S.-China trade talks
DXY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Dollar buoyed by U.S.-China tariffs pledge

* Some doubt about when trade deal will be signed

* BoE division hurts pound, paves way for rate cut

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Nov 8 (Reuters) - The dollar held on to its gains

versus the yen and the Swiss franc on Friday as a China-U.S.

agreement to roll back tariffs on each others' goods supported

riskier assets, even as some reports suggest a preliminary trade

pact is far from a done deal.

The yen also nursed losses against the euro and the

Australian dollar as progress in resolving a 16-month long trade

war between the world's two largest economies weakened demand

for safe havens.

China and the United States have agreed to roll back

tariffs on each others' goods in a "phase one" trade deal if it

is completed, officials from both sides said on Thursday.

However, there is still some scepticism about a trade deal

as officials inside and outside the White House have bristled at

the notion of giving up punitive tariffs.

Muddying the water further, White House spokeswoman Stephanie

Grisham told Fox News Channel in an interview on Thursday that

the United States is "very, very optimistic" about reaching a

trade deal with China soon. Sterling traded near a two-week low after two Bank of

England unexpectedly voted to cut interest rates due to

uncertainties posed by Britain's fraught exit from the European

Union. The remaining seven policy makers on the board voted to keep

policy unchanged, but Governor Mark Carney and others said they

would consider a cut in the future.

On the whole, sentiment is likely to remain supportive for

the dollar, equities and other risky assets as a de-escalation

in the U.S.-China trade war removes a huge risk to the global

economic outlook.

The dollar index .DXY against a basket of six major

currencies stood at 98.136, up 1% this week.

"The overall tone is risk-on, which is a positive for the

dollar and a negative for the yen," said Tsutomu Soma, general

manager of fixed income business solutions at SBI Securities Co

in Tokyo.

"We can see this in other markets, which is why stocks are

so strong. We still need to figure out when the United States

and China will sign this deal, but the mood so far is supportive

for markets."

Trump has used tariffs on billions of dollars of Chinese

goods as his primary weapon in a trade war that has hurt global

growth and rattled financial markets in the past year.

The dollar held steady at 109.34 yen JPY=EBS in Asia on

Friday, close to a five-month high, and is headed for a 1.1%

gain for the week.

The greenback CHF=EBS edged higher to 0.9953 Swiss franc,

on course for a 1% gain.

The pound GBP=D3 traded a $1.2815, close to the lowest

since Oct. 24. Cable was on course for a 1% decline this week.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected the BoE to vote

unanimously to keep Bank Rate at 0.75%.

The announcement of the 7-2 split weighed on sterling as

market odds on a cut next year rose as high as 80%.

To date, the BoE has resisted following the U.S. Federal

Reserve and the European Central Bank in cutting its main

interest rate, but the outcome of Thursday's meeting suggests

the BoE is poised to change its stance on monetary policy.

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