FOREX-Dollar skids as Brexit optimism lifts pound and euro

Published 21/10/2019, 16:13
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar skids as Brexit optimism lifts pound and euro
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(Adds analyst quotes; changes dateline, previous LONDON)

By Kate Duguid

NEW YORK, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar was crawling toward

its worst month since January 2018 on Monday as intermittent

waves of Brexit optimism pushed the pound to a 5-1/2 month high

and kept the euro's bumper October intact.

Although Prime Minister Boris Johnson this weekend was

forced by his opponents to send a letter to Brussels seeking a

delay to Britain's departure from the European Union as UK

lawmakers delayed a vote on a reworked Brexit deal, the currency

market reflected tentative hopes that it would eventually be

passed. Johnson will again try to put his Brexit deal to a vote

in parliament on Monday. Against the dollar, sterling GBP= was last up 0.1% in

North American trade, having earlier broken above $1.30 for the

first time in 5-1/2 months. The euro was 0.18% higher against

the dollar EUR= , having also been lifted by Brexit optimism

this month by 2.23%.

"Brexit has been doing a lot of the hard work in terms of

moving things around," said Daniel Katzive, head of foreign

exchange strategy for North America at BNP Paribas in New York.

"Whereas the impact of Brexit on sterling is obvious,

euro-USD's response to diminished Brexit fears has probably been

larger than what we had expected. This suggests that a lot of

the weakness in the euro over the previous few months was being

driven by Brexit concerns and as those are reducing, we're

seeing the euro get closer to where we think where it should

have been all along based on rate differentials."

The dollar .DXY is down 2.1% this month against a basket

of six rival currencies which, if it stays that way, would be

its worst month since January 2018.

It hovered at $1.115 per euro on Monday but managed to claw

up to 108.52 JPY= against the safe-haven Japanese yen. The yen

has been weak too, having hit a 2-1/2-month low last week.

The dollar has also been falling against a backdrop of

weaker U.S. data including disappointing retail sales which fell

for the first time in seven months in September as households

cut spending on vehicles, building materials, hobbies and online

purchases. "There are definitely some warning signs on the U.S. data

front, which I think is also impacting the dollar," said

Katzive.

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