FOREX-Dollar steadies as trade deal hopes fade, pound soft

Published 09/10/2019, 05:46
Updated 09/10/2019, 05:50
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar steadies as trade deal hopes fade, pound soft
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* Safety flows support dollar as hopes for trade

breakthrough fade

* Pound sits by one-month low as Brexit negotiations stumble

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Oct 9 (Reuters) - The dollar steadied on

Wednesday as hopes for a breakthrough in U.S-China trade talks

waned, sending investors into less risky assets, while the pound

wallowed near a month low on deepening uncertainty over Brexit.

The U.S. imposition of visa restrictions on Chinese

officials, and the blacklisting of Chinese firms, over the

treatment of Muslim minorities have cast a pall over trade

discussions scheduled in Washington for the rest of the week.

The resulting risk aversion had bolstered the dollar

overnight, which is seen as a safe-haven owing to its position

as a global reserve currency.

It mostly held those gains in Asian hours, though trade was

wobbly as investors also grappled with remarks overnight from

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell flagging further rate

cuts and bond buying. The greenback rose slightly to 107.14 Japanese yen JPY=

and was steady at $1.0962 on the euro EUR= . It was flat around

99.093 against a basket of major currencies .DXY .

"The timing of the U.S. travel bans and company blacklists

associated with human rights issues have not helped to maintain

a positive backdrop to these trade negotiations," said Rob

Carnell, ING's chief economist for Asia-Pacific.

"They also look likely to provoke some retaliation from

China, just a day before Vice Premier Liu He is due to arrive in

Washington for trade talks," he said.

Liu and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are due to meet on Thursday.

A Chinese diplomat told Reuters that China wanted a deal.

But prospects for progress appear to be dimming as the

dispute widens.

On top of the visa restrictions and corporate blacklistings,

the Trump administration is also moving ahead with discussions

around restrictions on capital flows into China, Bloomberg

reported, citing people familiar with the matter. "The tensions will persist through to the year-end at

least," said Westpac analyst Imre Speizer in Auckland, who is

not expecting the talks to deliver a breakthrough deal.

"It'll be volatile good news, bad news, repeat for the rest

of the year, but overall a negative tone."

The Chinese yuan CNY= , the most sensitive currency to the

trade talks, had dropped to a one-month low in offshore trade

overnight, but was a little stronger at 7.1434 per dollar in

onshore trade on Wednesday.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars ticked higher, with

the Aussie AUD=D3 rising 0.2% to $0.6741 and the kiwi NZD=D3

0.3% to $0.6312. Sterling GBP= languished at $1.2214, close to its lowest

since early September, on reports that talks between Britain and

the European Union were close to breaking down without an exit

deal.

In a telephone call on Tuesday, German Chancellor Angela

Merkel told British Prime Minister Boris Johnson that a deal was

"overwhelmingly unlikely," a Downing Street source said.

The Times newspaper reported Johnson also faces a fresh

rebellion in cabinet, with a group of ministers poised to quit

due to concerns he is leading the country into a no-deal exit.

That leaves the outcome on Oct. 31, when Britain is due to

quit the EU, deeply uncertain.

"The ever-fluid Brexit saga is expected to leave the pound

exposed to politically-driven bouts of volatility over the

coming weeks," said FXTM analyst Han Tan.

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