FOREX-Dollar steady, yuan firms as U.S.-China trade talks spur caution

Published 08/10/2019, 06:56
Updated 08/10/2019, 07:00
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar steady, yuan firms as U.S.-China trade talks spur caution
DXY
-

* Dollar mostly holds overnight gains

* Moves slight as markets in holding pattern, watching trade

talks

* Aussie and kiwi perk up, move may be short-lived

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook and Stanley White

SINGAPORE/TOKYO, Oct 8 (Reuters) - The dollar found support

on Tuesday while investors awaited the outcome from crucial

Sino-U.S. trade talks in Washington, with many staying cautious

as neither side has shown signs of giving ground at the

negotiations.

The Chinese yuan firmed in onshore and offshore trade as

Chinese financial markets reopened after a week-long holiday.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, whose fortunes are

often linked with global trade, edged higher as some investors

reduced bearish bets. Dealers warned this move could fade

depending on the tone of the trade talks in Washington.

Hopes for a breakthrough are not high, but some investors

are trying to scale back their positions, at least temporarily,

because the outcome of the trade negotiations cannot be

predicted.

"No-one can be confident about these talks, except our

inclination has long been that the talks are more likely to

disappoint than to please market expectations," said Sean

Callow, currency strategist at Westpac in Sydney.

"The U.S. and China are just too far apart on key issues,"

he said, leaving only a very limited deal in prospect.

The dollar rose 0.14% to 107.18 yen JPY=EBS , approaching a

one-week high reached on Monday.

Against a basket of currencies .DXY , the dollar steadied

at 98.959.

In the onshore market, the yuan CNY=CFXS traded at 7.1263

per dollar, stronger than its previous close of 7.1480 on Sept.

30. In the offshore market, the yuan CNH=D3 gained around 0.1%

to 7.1257 per dollar.

Deputy-level meetings between U.S. and Chinese trade

negotiators began in Washington on Monday, with little immediate

signs of progress. Top-level talks are scheduled to begin on Thursday, when

Chinese Vice Premier Liu He meets U.S. Trade Representative

Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

The talks are getting under way about a week before a

scheduled increase in U.S. tariffs on $250 billion worth of

Chinese goods, to 30% from 25%.

U.S. President Donald Trump has said the tariff increase

will take effect if no progress is made in the negotiations. The

United States on Monday added 28 Chinese public security bureaus

and companies to a trade blacklist. Masaru Ishibashi, joint general manager of the trading

department at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp in Tokyo, said the

dollar is benefiting from "waning pessimism about the U.S.

economy".

"In addition, speculators are trying to lighten their

positions related to the trade war, which is helping some

commodity currencies," he said. "The next move depends entirely

on what the trade talks produce."

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 rose 0.24% to $0.6748, while

the New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 advanced by 0.46% at $0.6318.

The antipodean currencies have generally been on a downtrend

since early September as weaker-than-expected economic

indicators pointed to a need for more policy easing by Australia

and New Zealand.

However, both the Aussie and the kiwi have moved up from

recent lows, which dealers say is partly because some investors

squared off positions before the trade talks.

The euro EUR=EBS held steady around $1.0975 as the single

currency slowly gets some distance from a 2-1/2 year low hit

last week.

Sterling GBP=D3 last traded at $1.2296. The pound has been

confined to a narrow range recently, but investors are growing

increasingly concerned about a lack of progress between Britain

and the European Union to agree a Brexit withdrawal deal.

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