FOREX-Dollar tumbles as safe-haven bid diminishes on Brexit, trade optimism

Published 10/10/2019, 19:46
Updated 10/10/2019, 19:50
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar tumbles as safe-haven bid diminishes on Brexit, trade optimism
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* Brexit deal can be done by Oct. 31 -Ireland

* China willing to reach agreement with U.S. -Vice Premier

Liu He

* U.S. core CPI slips; headline CPI unchanged in September

* Markets expect Fed rate cut later this month

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds new comment, Brexit news, sterling moves, updates prices)

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK, Oct 10 (Reuters) - The dollar fell to two-week

lows on Thursday, with safe-haven demand for the currency waning

as investors grew optimistic about a U.S.-China trade deal as

well as a potential agreement on Britain's exit from the

European Union.

Sterling jumped to a two-week high versus the dollar and

posted its largest daily percentage gain in seven months. The

pound was last up 1.8% at $1.2432 GBP= .

"With a Brexit deal looking more likely and U.S.-China talks

showing more progress, it's just clear that the dollar is losing

some safe-haven demand," said Juan Perez, senior currency

trader, at Tempus Inc in Washington.

On Thursday, Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar said a Brexit

deal could be clinched by the end of October to allow the United

Kingdom to leave the European Union in an orderly fashion, after

what he called a very positive meeting with Boris Johnson.

Ireland is at the center of what has been a prolonged Brexit

impasse. "Both prime ministers came out with the most hope in a

while," said Tempus' Perez. "The move in the pound of more than

1-1/2 percent in its favor makes sense ... but the key is can

parliament pass this Brexit deal if it does happen."

Aside from Brexit, investors were hopeful about a potential

U.S.-China trade agreement.

Chinese Vice Premier Liu He on Thursday said China was

willing to reach an agreement with the United States on matters

both sides care about to prevent any further escalation in

tensions, the state news agency Xinhua reported. Liu, China's top trade negotiator, made his comment in

Washington when he met with U.S. officials. Trade talks between

the two countries started on Thursday.

"If we get some type of trade deal or mini-agreement or

mandate, you're going to see that being supportive of European

assets," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst, at OANDA in

New York. "We're seeing the euro now back above $1.10, which has

been the resistance."

The markets largely shrugged off core U.S. inflation data

that was lower than forecast. In afternoon trading, the dollar index posted its biggest

daily drop in five weeks. It fell 0.5% to 98.64 .DXY , after

earlier sliding to a two-week trough.

The yen, another safe haven in times of geopolitical and

financial stress, also fell to a one-week trough against the

dollar, weakening as well against riskier currencies such as the

Australian dollar.

The dollar was last up 0.4% against the Japanese yen at

107.87 yen JPY= .

The euro, meanwhile, rose to a two-week high, lasting

changing hands at $1.1014, up 0.4%.

The dollar was little moved after data showed U.S. consumer

prices were unchanged in September, while underlying inflation

slipped. The report supported expectations the Federal Reserve

will cut interest rates in October for the third time this year.

The U.S. consumer price index edged up 0.1% in August.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI nudging up

0.1% in September. Excluding the volatile food and energy

components, the CPI climbed 0.1% after gaining 0.3% for three

straight months. Market bets for a quarter-point U.S. rate cut swelled to 85%

at its next policy meeting in October, compared to 53% a month

earlier.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 2:28PM (1828 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar EUR= $1.1009 $1.0969 +0.36% -4.01% +1.1034 +1.0972

Dollar/Yen JPY= 107.8900 107.4600 +0.40% -2.14% +107.9700 +107.0400

Euro/Yen EURJPY= 118.79 117.90 +0.75% -5.89% +118.9400 +117.5800

Dollar/Swiss CHF= 0.9962 0.9956 +0.06% +1.51% +0.9972 +0.9915

Sterling/Dollar GBP= 1.2427 1.2204 +1.83% -2.59% +1.2468 +1.2207

Dollar/Canadian CAD= 1.3291 1.3330 -0.29% -2.54% +1.3345 +1.3269

Australian/Doll AUD= 0.6763 0.6723 +0.59% -4.06% +0.6774 +0.6711

Euro/Swiss EURCHF= 1.0969 1.0925 +0.40% -2.52% +1.0977 +1.0900

Euro/Sterling EURGBP= 0.8857 0.8986 -1.44% -1.41% +0.9019 +0.8837

NZ NZD= 0.6321 0.6291 +0.48% -5.90% +0.6335 +0.6278

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway NOK= 9.1252 9.1721 -0.51% +5.63% +9.1816 +9.1096

Euro/Norway EURNOK= 10.0455 10.0628 -0.17% +1.41% +10.0878 +10.0434

Dollar/Sweden SEK= 9.8424 9.9586 -0.81% +9.80% +9.9583 +9.8191

Euro/Sweden EURSEK= 10.8371 10.9258 -0.81% +5.58% +10.9325 +10.8310

Dollar Drop https://tmsnrt.rs/2MsZGbd

Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

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