FOREX-Dollar underpinned by trade optimism; loonie lifts as Canada votes

Published 22/10/2019, 01:15
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar underpinned by trade optimism; loonie lifts as Canada votes
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* Trade optimism bolsters dollar and riskier currencies

* Canadian dollar rises as votes tallied in close election

* Pound waits for Brexit developments

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

HONG KONG, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Signs that the U.S. and China

were making progress in efforts to resolve their trade dispute

supported both the dollar and trade-exposed Asian currencies on

Tuesday, while the Canadian dollar rose as voters went to the

polls in a closely-fought election.

The volatile pound GBP= sat just under a 5-1/2-month high

at $1.2962, with the Brexit project in disarray but traders

looking to another crucial parliamentary vote on Tuesday to

determine the next step. U.S. President Donald Trump said in Washington that work

toward ending the U.S.-China dispute was going well, while White

House adviser Larry Kudlow said tariffs scheduled for December

could be withdrawn if progress is made. Meanwhile Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said that while a

deal may not be finalised next month, that was less important

than securing "the right deal," following Chinese Vice Premier

and chief negotiator Liu He saying last week that Beijing is

approaching talks from a basis of mutual respect.

"A concerted effort from both countries to manage market

expectations of a longer negotiation was well accepted," said

Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at brokerage CMC

Markets in Sydney.

"It is now clear to investors that a comprehensive trade

agreement will require many months of discussion."

The dollar was steady against most major currencies in early

Asian trade, holding only a fraction below a three-month high

against the Japanese yen JPY= at 108.58 yen per dollar.

It lifted from a two-month low touched against the euro

EUR= overnight to steady at $1.1148, and was flat against a

basket of currencies .DXY at 97.304.

The Canadian dollar - the best performing G10 currency this

year - climbed to a three-month high of 1.3082 per dollar

overnight as voters turned out in an election expected to be too

close to call.

It held near that level as the first polls closed, with

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau seeking to cling to power against

a strong challenge from opposition Conservatives. The trade exposed Australian and New Zealand dollars drifted

higher, though remained marginally below one-month peaks that

both currencies touched overnight. The Aussie AUD=D3 last

traded at $0.6867 and the kiwi NZD=D3 at $0.6409.

The pound held steady at $1.2969, with Brexit developments

set to determine its fate.

With just over a week before Britain is due to leave the

European Union, Boris Johnson's push to re-run a parliamentary

vote he lost on the weekend was rejected.

But he has resolved to press on with seeking to pass

Brexit-related laws in parliament on Tuesday, with their

progress to determine the timeline.

"While markets haven't seen fit to reverse last week's

optimism that saw sterling smartly higher they aren't yet

prepared to take the pound up to the next level," said National

Australia Bank Head of FX Strategy Ray Attrill.

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