FOREX-Euro at one-month low vs dollar; yuan set for worst month since 1994

Published 30/08/2019, 09:48
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro at one-month low vs dollar; yuan set for worst month since 1994
EUR/USD
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USD/JPY
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DXY
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* Australian dollar falls towards 10-year low

* New Zealand dollar drops to four-year low

* Sterling stable below $1.22

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Olga Cotaga

Aug 30 (Reuters) - The euro plunged to a one-month low

against the dollar on Friday, as investors looked for aggressive

easing by the European Central Bank and ignored doubts by some

policymakers about the need for more stimulus.

Poor euro zone economic data on Thursday reinforced views

the ECB would cut its benchmark interest rate and announce a new

round of quantitative easing at September's meeting. German

inflation slowed in August and unemployment rose, more evidence

that Europe's largest economy is slowing Christine Lagarde, the ECB's next president, said the

central bank still has room to cut rates if necessary

But divisions clearly remain within the ECB.

Board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger said it was too early to

consider a "huge package" of stimulus. Dutch central bank chief

Klaas Knot, a prominent hawk on the Governing Council, said he

was open to a rate cut but thought a resumption of asset

purchases would be premature. The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1033 EUR=EBS , the lowest since

Aug. 1. It has shed nearly 12% of its value against the dollar

since the beginning of last year in a clear downward trajectory.

An index that tracks the dollar against a basket of six

other currencies was flat at 98.561, down from a one-month high

of 98.595 in Asian trading .DXY . The dollar gained on Thursday

from hopes China and the United States would renew their talks

on trade.

"The dollar is getting bid from month-end flows, but the

euro side of the equation is compromised by what appears to be a

set of lacklustre economic data in the eurozone," said Jeremy

Stretch, head of G10 forex strategy at CIBC Capital Markets.

"This opens a debate of how aggressive the ECB" may be in

the coming months, Stretch said.

Money markets are pricing in 15 basis points of rate cuts at

the next ECB meeting, on Sept. 12, pushing rates further into

negative territory.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUD=D3 headed towards a

recent 10-year low, last trading down 0.2% at $0.6718. The New

Zealand dollar NZD=D3 was down 0.2% at $0.6297, after touching

a four-year low of $0.6290.

Analysts blamed the declines on fading expectations that

Beijing and Washington would avert increases in tariffs on

Chinese goods set for Sept. 1 Washington is due to

start imposing 15% tariffs on $125 billion worth of goods from

China on Sunday.

Focus is also moving to weekend data from China, especially

its official manufacturing survey, which is expected to show

factory activity contracted in August for the fourth straight

month.

The yuan is set for its biggest monthly decline since 1994.

It has lost around 3.7% to the dollar CNH=D3 , after trading as

low as 7.185 earlier this month.

The Japanese yen was stable at 106 versus the dollar

JPY=EBS , though it has gained about 2% this month.

"There are so many geopolitical risk factors now. Not to

mention U.S.-China trade conflicts, we have Brexit, Hong Kong

and the Middle East. So we should expect the yen to jump from

time to time," said Minori Uchida, chief currency analyst at

MUFG Bank.

The pound was steady at $1.2182 GBP=D3 , but 0.2% lower

against the euro at 90.59 pence EURGBP=D3 .

Euro downward trajectory intensifies further https://tmsnrt.rs/2PpNVr1

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