FOREX-Euro buoyed by stronger-than-expected German economic data

Published 10/12/2019, 13:19
Updated 10/12/2019, 13:27
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro buoyed by stronger-than-expected German economic data
USD/JPY
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DXY
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* German ZEW survey turns euro-positive

* Dollar trades weaker against most major currencies

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Recasts, updates prices and adds latest news)

By Olga Cotaga

LONDON, Dec 10 (Reuters) - The euro rose on Tuesday after a

better-than-expected German economic sentiment survey, with

moves limited by doubts that the release will change the

rhetoric of the European Central Bank.

The dollar was little changed versus the safe-haven Japanese

yen as investors remained wary of a deadline for U.S. tariffs on

China, the British election and upcoming Federal Reserve and ECB

meetings. It was weaker against a basket of major currencies.

"The message from the ECB is unlikely to change much," while

the Fed could cut rates next year, which means markets' focus is

likely to stay on the Fed, said Richard Falkenhäll, senior

currency strategist at SEB.

"It's too early to expect any major change when it comes to

ECB communication," he said.

The focus for now is whether Washington will go ahead with a

new round of tariffs on Chinese goods on Sunday, or whether a

deal with China can be reached before then.

White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said on Friday

that the Dec. 15 deadline is still in place, but Agriculture

Secretary Sonny Perdue suggested it may not be imposed.

The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1082 EUR=EBS after a survey

showed that the mood among German investors improved more than

forecast in December. The dollar was flat against the Japanese yen JPY= at

108.56. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar traded down

0.1% at 97.513 .DXY .

The Chinese yuan -- the currency most sensitive to the

U.S.-China trade war -- was also trading neutral against the

U.S. dollar in the offshore market, last at 7.0398 CNH=EBS .

Soaring inflation in China had little effect on a market

waiting for trade news. Kit Juckes, macro strategist at Societe Generale, called

markets "dull".

Investors are almost certain the Fed will leave rates

unchanged when its two-day meeting ends on Wednesday. In a

year's time, however, money markets are pricing in a full 25-

basis-point cut. FEDWATCH

The ECB is likewise expected to keep interest rates steady

on Thursday. A probability of less than 50% for a 10-basis-point

rate cut by the end of next year is priced into the euro zone

money markets right now. ECBWATCH

The pound rose to a seven-month high of $1.3190 GBP=D3 on

expectations the Conservative Party will win a majority in the

British election on Thursday. Against the euro, sterling was up

0.2% at 84.05 pence EURGBP=D3 , close to a two-and-a-half-year

high of 83.94 pence it reached on Monday.

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