FOREX-Euro dips as investors wait to see scale of ECB easing

Published 11/09/2019, 11:15
Updated 11/09/2019, 11:20
© Reuters.  FOREX-Euro dips as investors wait to see scale of ECB easing
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* Euro dips before Thursday's ECB meeting

* Yen weakens towards 108 per dlr on rising risk appetite

* Yuan briefly jumps on report of trade war mitigation

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds details, new quote, latest prices)

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The euro dipped on Wednesday but

most investors stuck to the sidelines ahead of a key European

Central Bank meeting on Thursday, with the scale of an expected

monetary easing package from euro zone policymakers uncertain.

After sliding to a more than two-year low earlier this

month, the euro has since rebounded as policymakers signalled

some doubt about restarting its bond buying package, known as

quantitative easing (QE), to boost the region's economy.

Expectations that policymakers will push interest rates even

further into negative territory have weighed on the euro

EUR=EBS , which has shed 3% since June.

"The euro has been doing a little better recently. That may

have to do with the fact we have seen some pushback by ECB

members for a QE programme," Commerzbank analyst Thu Lan Nguyen

said. "But I think expectations are still running quite high."

Medium-term, Nguyen said she expected the euro to weaken

versus the dollar as investors woke up to the limits to what the

ECB could do when the U.S. Federal Reserve, which is also

expected to cut rates next week, had much more room to ease

policy into 2020.

"Right now both are still capable of easing. At some point

the ECB will not be able to continue," she said.

The euro fell 0.2% to $1.1026 EUR=EBS , with bets divided

on the likely scope and style of any stimulus.

The dollar index .DXY ticked 0.1% higher to 98.467.

The ECB decision is likely to set the tone for upcoming

rate-setting meetings by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of

Japan next week, as well as for broader global risk appetite.

Elsewhere, the Japanese yen fell as the rush into safe-haven

assets during the summer continued to unwind on the back of

rising risk appetite.

The yen had rocketed towards a 2019 high as investors in

August fretted about the prospect of a global recession. Forex

traders often buy the yen in times of uncertainty because of

Japan's vast current account surplus and because they believe

Japanese investors will bring their money home when

international markets tumble.

But with broader stock markets recovering on hopes of easing

U.S.-China tensions and diminishing risks of a no-deal Brexit,

the yen is now weakening.

"Yen weakness has been reinforced overnight by speculation

that China will implement further measures to ease the negative

economic impact from the trade war with the U.S.," MUFG analysts

said in a note.

The yen was last down 0.2% at 107.70 yen JPY=EBS , some way

from the 104.46 levels of late August.

The Chinese yuan CNY= briefly jumped and extended its

recent recovery after the editor of the Global Times, a widely

read Chinese tabloid published by the ruling Communist Party's

official People's Daily, tweeted that China would introduce

measures to mitigate the impact of the trade war.

The offshore yuan later shed those gains and was last at

7.11 yuan per dollar CNH=EBS , unchanged on the day.

Sterling GBP=D3 rose marginally to $1.2371, but was near

its six-week high of $1.2385 hit earlier in the week as fears of

a no-deal Brexit recede.

Euro vs U.S. dollar https://tmsnrt.rs/31k05Dm

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(Editing by Andrew Heavens and Alex Richardson)

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