FOREX-Investors stick with yen as recession fears grow; sterling slides

Published 28/08/2019, 11:28
© Reuters.  FOREX-Investors stick with yen as recession fears grow; sterling slides
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* Yen holds recent gains as investors seek safety

* Sterling slides on Johnson move to limit parliament's time

* Aussie falls again, heads back towards decade low

* Italian political boost unlikely to help euro much,

analysts say

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

(Adds new quote, details, updates prices)

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON, Aug 28 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen clung to its

recent gains on Wednesday as worries about a global economic

downturn grew, while sterling slumped on British Prime Minister

Boris Johnson's move to limit parliament's opportunity to derail

his Brexit plans.

Two-year U.S. government bond yields rose further above

10-year yields, a deepening of the so-called inversion of the

yield curve that many see as a harbinger of a recession.

Investors worry the trade conflict between the United States and

China could tip the world into an economic slowdown.

The yen stood at 105.78 yen per dollar JPY=EBS , unchanged

on the day but close to the 7-month high of 104.46 yen hit on

Monday.

"Much if not all of the decline in dollar/yen is simply down

to markets becoming more risk averse," said Adam Cole, currency

strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

Cole said, however, that if the outlook for the global trade

conflict improves and risk appetite recovers, he expected the

dollar to "grind higher" against the yen as Japanese investors

continue to buy higher-yielding dollar assets without hedging

the currency risk, which would support the greenback.

The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against a

basket of currencies, rose marginally to 98.091 .DXY .

Sterling skidded more than 1% against the euro and dollar on

media reports of Boris Johnson's plans. A government source said the prime minister, who has vowed

to take Britain out of the EU without a divorce deal if

necessary, would set an Oct. 14 date for the Queen's Speech -

the formal state opening of a new session of parliament.

That would effectively shut parliament from mid-September

for around a month and reduce the parliamentary time in which

lawmakers could try to block a no-deal Brexit.

Sterling was last down 0.7% at $1.2198 GBP=D3 and 0.7%

lower versus the euro at 90.93 pence EURGBP=D3 , just off the

day's lows.

Elsewhere, weaker risk appetite weighed on the Australian

AUD=D3 and New Zealand NZD=D3 dollars, which tend to perform

well when investors buy into riskier assets.

The Aussie has been on the back foot since Reserve Bank of

Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Guy Debelle said on Tuesday that

a weakening the currency was supporting the economy and that

further falls would be beneficial. The Aussie had fallen to a more than decade-low of $0.6677

early in August. On Wednesday it stood at $0.6724, down 0.1% on

the day while the kiwi was 0.3% lower at $0.6341.

The Chinese yuan edged lower to 7.1703 CNH=EBS in offshore

markets, not far from the record low of 7.187 it touched on

Monday.

Euro/dollar was little changed, trading at $1.1091 EUR=EBS

with little in the way of new economic data scheduled for

Wednesday or developments to spark bigger moves.

Analysts at ING said positive news in Italy, where the

5-Star Movement and the opposition Democratic Party appear on

the verge of agreeing a governing coalition, would not help the

euro significantly.

"Instead the escalation in trade wars merely looks to extend

the slow-down in manufacturing, depressing European growth still

further. Like all activity currencies, the EUR looks soft and

could break down to new lows at any time. EUR/USD support at

$1.1025/50 looks vulnerable," they said.

(Editing by Andrew Heavens)

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