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FOREX-Sterling falls before Brexit vote, euro down on rate outlook

Published 03/09/2019, 06:38
Updated 03/09/2019, 06:40
FOREX-Sterling falls before Brexit vote, euro down on rate outlook
EUR/USD
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NZD/USD
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USD/CNY
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Sterling limps into Asian trading after big fall

* Weak data knocks euro lower

* Brexit vote could set tone for global financial markets

(Adds details on ECB, RBA)

By Stanley White

TOKYO, Sept 3 (Reuters) - Sterling neared its weakest

against the U.S. dollar in more than two years on Tuesday amid

mounting uncertainty as British lawmakers prepared to vote on

the first stage of a plan to block Prime Minister Boris Johnson

from pursuing a no-deal Brexit.

Johnson's opponents will put forward a vote that would

enable them to seize control of the parliamentary agenda on

Wednesday to try to pass legislation that would force Johnson to

seek a three-month delay to Britain's EU exit. Johnson has made

it clear that if the government was defeated, it would hold a

vote on Wednesday to approve an early election, most likely to

be held on Oct. 14. "The pound is being sold all over the place, because the

political risk has forced us to recognise that a no-deal Brexit

is possible," said Junichi Ishikawa, senior foreign exchange

strategist at IG Securities in Tokyo.

"At this point, I see no reason to stay long in sterling."

Sterling fell 0.23% to $1.2035 GBP=D4 in Asian trading on

Tuesday, having tumbled 0.8% on Monday, its biggest decline in

more than three weeks.

The euro held onto Monday's 0.7 % gain against the pound to

stand little changed at 90.90 pence EURGBP=D3 .

A messy exit from the European Union certain to weaken the

pound, but it could roil other currencies and other markets as

investors adjust their positions to exit trades in riskier

assets.

U.S. financial markets were closed on Monday for a public

holiday, but weakness in other major currencies and a slight

rise in U.S. Treasury yields in Asia helped the dollar index

=USD rise 0.22% on Tuesday to 99.284.

The euro fell to its weakest in more than two years against

the dollar after a survey on Monday showed European

manufacturing contracted for seven straight months, reinforcing

expectations that the European Central Bank will ease monetary

policy at a meeting next week. The euro EUR= fell to $1.0954 in Asia on Tuesday, its

weakest since May 2017, with sentiment damaged by the break

below the key $1.1000 level last week.

The ECB's Governing Council holds its next monetary policy

meeting on Sept. 12 and has all but promised a stimulus package,

with economic growth faltering amid a global trade war and

Germany's manufacturing sector already in recession.

Market expectations are that it will carry out several

interest rate cuts in the coming year, along with a fresh round

of bond purchases, commonly known as quantitative easing.

Elsewhere in the currency market, the Chinese yuan CNH=D3

hit a record low of 7.1960 per dollar in early offshore trade

after Bloomberg News reported that Chinese and U.S. officials

are struggling to agree a schedule for a round of trade

negotiations that had been expected this month.

In onshore trade, the yuan CNY=CFXS briefly fell to 7.1825

per dollar, the lowest since February 2008, before recovering to

7.1811.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to leave interest

rates unchanged at a record low of 1% saw the Australian dollar

AUD=D3 ease 0.11% to $0.67111. Economists expect the RBA to

cut two more times to boost inflation and support a stuttering

economy, a Reuters poll showed.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D3 skidded to $0.6270, the

lowest since September 2015. The kiwi has fallen for the past

seven trading sessions as weak data last week on business

confidence bolstered the case for further interest rate cuts.

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