FOREX-Weak factory data knocks dollar as Brexit delay hopes boost pound

Published 04/09/2019, 02:04
Updated 04/09/2019, 02:10
© Reuters.  FOREX-Weak factory data knocks dollar as Brexit delay hopes boost pound
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US10YT=X
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* Dollar falls on weaker-than-expected manufacturing data

* Sterling recovers but under pressure amid Brexit chaos

* Plummeting pound: https://tmsnrt.rs/2N6T2JO

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The dollar pulled back on

Wednesday as weak U.S. manufacturing stoked wagers on aggressive

policy easing, while the British pound recouped losses in the

wake of a parliamentary vote that opened the door for another

Brexit delay.

Manufacturing activity in the world's biggest economy

contracted for the first time in three years last month,

according to the Institute for Supply Management. That knocked the wind from the greenback and rallied the

bond market as investors increased bets on a couple of Federal

Reserve rate cuts before Christmas.

A 25-basis-point cut is now fully priced in, while yields on

benchmark 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR , which fall when prices

rise, dropped to their lowest in two years.

As a result, the greenback gave ground to the yen JPY= ,

the Australian dollar AUD=D3 , and the pound GBP=D3 . Sterling

climbed as high as $1.210 in early Asian trade, helped by the

possibility that a no-deal Brexit may yet be averted.

"The expectation that the Fed will come to the rescue has

increased," said Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at

National Australia Bank in Sydney.

"But it's not a capitulation on the dollar. It's just merely

stopped the recent rise of the dollar."

Against a basket of currencies the dollar .DXY traded

slightly lower at 98.944, which was 0.4% below the two-year peak

it touched on Tuesday.

The sterling was pushed higher after British lawmakers voted

to take control of the parliamentary agenda and scheduled

another vote on Wednesday. If the vote is successful, it would

force Prime Minister Boris Johnson to seek more time from the

European Union and prevent leaving the bloc without a divorce

deal. The prospect of a so-called "hard Brexit" has been a major

source of worry for currency markets. The pound had dropped

under $1.20 and hit its lowest since a flash crash in October

2016 on Tuesday.

More than three years after the UK voted in a referendum to

leave the EU, the Brexit process remains unresolved and a source

of major political chaos. Possible outcomes for Britain range

from a turbulent "no-deal" exit to abandoning the whole

endeavour.

Johnson has said he will now push for a snap election,

adding another major source of political uncertainty for

sterling.

"We still just can't say what the end game will be," said

Yukio Ishizuki, senior strategist at Daiwa Securities.

"Die-hard Brexiteers want a Brexit no matter what while the

Remainers are deadly opposed. This is not an issue in which both

sides can come halfway for a compromise."

The euro EUR=D3 was steady around $1.2087, a recovery from

a 28-month low against the dollar that it touched on Tuesday, as

investors priced in deeper negative interest rates for longer in

the euro zone.

The yen rose to 105.99 per dollar before easing slightly to

trade at 105.86 by 0008 GMT.

There were few signs of a breakthrough in U.S. China trade

negotiations with President Donald Trump taking to Twitter to

warn he would be "tougher" on Beijing in a second term if trade

talks dragged on.

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