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FOREX-Yen firm over China virus concern; Aussie jumps on jobs data

Published 23/01/2020, 02:05
© Reuters.  FOREX-Yen firm over China virus concern; Aussie jumps on jobs data
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* Investors head for safety as China virus spreads

* Japanese yen rises to three-week high

* Aussie jumps as unemployment unexpectedly drops

* Pound at three-week peak as rate cut bets subside

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Jan 23 (Reuters) - The safe-haven Japanese yen

was firm and the Chinese yuan fragile on Thursday as traders

kept a wary eye on the spread of a virus in China, while the

ailing Australian dollar jumped after a surprise drop in

unemployment.

Deaths from the flu-like coronavirus, rose to 17 on

Wednesday. A total of 571 cases have now been confirmed and

Chinese state media reported overnight that transport to and

from the city of Wuhan in central China, where the outbreak

originated, is to be shut from 0200 GMT. The World Health Organisation will decide later on Thursday

whether to declare the situation a global health emergency.

"We'll be taking our leads from China and sentiment on the

ground," said Chris Weston, Head of Research at Melbourne

brokerage Pepperstone.

"USD/CNH remains a solid guide, and I see risks if we see

the cross push into 6.9150 ... with a belief that the Chinese

authorities will stimulate should economics be threatened."

The yuan held around 6.9110 per dollar in morning offshore

trade CNH= , not far above a two-week low hit on Wednesday.

The Japanese yen JPY= , seen as a haven by virtue of

Japan's position as the world's largest creditor, rose 0.1% to a

two week high of 109.65 per dollar as investors sought safety.

The U.S. dollar was otherwise steady, holding at about

$1.1093 per euro EUR= and at 97.527 against a basket of

currencies .DXY .

A major concern is that the virus could spread quickly as

millions of people travel across China, and the world, to

celebrate the Lunar New Year at their hometowns.

"China's efforts to be transparent is a reprieve for

markets, but our suspicion is that cautiousness is likely to

remain a near-term theme nonetheless," said Rodrigo Catril,

senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.

"For now it remains to be seen if China has managed to

contained the outbreak, particularly given the upcoming

holidays."

Elsewhere the Australian dollar AUD=D3 , which has shed

more than a cent this year as the domestic economy stalls, rose

0.5% to $0.6877 after jobs data showed an unexpected drop in

unemployment.

The figures showed 28,900 jobs created in December, nearly

double market expectations, prompting a rapid unwinding of bets

that the central bank will cut rates next month.

Futures pricing shifted quickly from an even probability of

a rate cut to only about a 1/4 chance. 0#YIB

The British pound GBP= sat a fraction below a three-week

high at $1.3147, after an overnight rebound in manufacturing

sentiment prompted investors to trim rate cut bets. BOEWATCH

Factories' optimism about the outlook rose to its highest

since August 2014, according to a quarterly survey from the

Confederation of British Industry. The focus now turns to

broader business surveys due on Friday.

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